Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portugal W vs Belgium W Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Estádio do Marítimo, Funchal
Portugal W Logo

Portugal W

0 - 3
FT
Belgium W Logo

Belgium W

Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Amado C.
25'
Janssens J.
37' Event
Vanhaevermaet J.
Assist: Eurlings H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Belgium W in this UEFA Nations League Women matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Belgium W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Portugal W
20%
Draws
38%
Belgium W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Portugal W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Belgium W average 1.93 goals a game right now, well clear of Portugal W's 1.72.
  • Win probability leans Belgium W's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Portugal W Clean Sheet 10%
Belgium W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugal W Belgium W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.72 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2025 Euro Women
Portugal W vs Belgium W
1:2
Jun 3, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Portugal W vs Belgium W
0:3
Feb 26, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Belgium W vs Portugal W
0:1
Oct 6, 2022 World Cup Women
Portugal W vs Belgium W
2:1
Mar 7, 2020 Algarve Cup Women
Belgium W vs Portugal W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugal W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Belgium W Compare

Top Goalscorer Vanhaevermaet J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wullaert T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal W 18 / 100
Belgium W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugal W Belgium W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belgium W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugal W's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Belgium W let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Portugal W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Portugal W VS Belgium W
2.25 Goals Scored 2.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Portugal W

(Home)
09 Jun
Finland W
3 : 1
Portugal W
05 Jun
Portugal W
5 : 0
Latvia W
18 Apr
Slovakia W
1 : 2
Portugal W
14 Apr
Latvia W
0 : 3
Portugal W
07 Mar
Portugal W
4 : 0
Slovakia W
Page 1 of 6

Belgium W

(Away)
09 Jun
Luxembourg W
0 : 7
Belgium W
05 Jun
Belgium W
6 : 0
Luxembourg W
18 Apr
Belgium W
0 : 0
Scotland W
14 Apr
Scotland W
1 : 1
Belgium W
07 Mar
Belgium W
5 : 0
Israel W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany W 6 5 1 0 26:4 16
2 Netherlands W 6 3 2 1 11:10 11
3 Austria W 6 2 0 4 5:16 6
4 Scotland W 6 0 1 5 3:15 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France W 6 6 0 0 14:2 18
2 Norway W 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
3 Iceland W 6 0 4 2 6:9 4
4 Switzerland W 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain W 6 5 0 1 21:8 15
2 England W 6 3 1 2 16:6 10
3 Belgium W 6 2 0 4 9:16 6
4 Portugal W 6 1 1 4 5:21 4
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden W 6 3 3 0 13:6 12
2 Italy W 6 3 1 2 11:7 10
3 Denmark W 6 3 0 3 8:13 9
4 Wales W 6 0 2 4 4:10 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)