Sport Picks

World

Friendly International Women 2025 Estádio Municipal de Aveiro

Brazil W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Portugal W play Brazil W in the Friendly International Women 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Portugal W averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Brazil W averaged 2.47 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Portugal W won 0, Brazil W won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 2, 2025 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Portugal W and 1.94 for Brazil W. This points to a Brazil W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

Portugal W

15%

Draws

50%

Brazil W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brazil W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Portugal W picked up more points recently compared to Brazil W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 84%

Over 2.5 Goals 71%

Over 3.5 Goals 43%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

Portugal W Clean Sheet 10%

Brazil W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 76%

Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Portugal W	Brazil W
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	15	21
Draws	5	2
Losses	10	7
Goals Scored	1.77	2.47
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 2, 2025 Friendly International Women

Portugal W vs Brazil W

Possession: 55% - 52% Cards: 0 - 1

0:5

Mar 4, 2016 Algarve Cup Women

Portugal W vs Brazil W

Possession: 52% - 45% Cards: 2 - 0

1:3

Dec 9, 2012 Friendly International Women

Brazil W vs Portugal W

Possession: 49% - 54% Cards: 0 - 4

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugal W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

Brazil W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabi Zanotti

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ludmila

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.27

Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal W 34 / 100

Brazil W 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Portugal W Brazil W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Brazil W or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +29.5%

3.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.3%

1.54

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Portugal W attacking → ← attacking Brazil W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugal W scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Brazil W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Portugal W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Brazil W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 65

2.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.50

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25