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Portugal W vs Finland W

World World

World Cup Women Estádio do Vizela
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Match Events

17'
Kosola K.
46'
Sub
Kosola K. In: Engman A.
Out: Kosola K.
59'
Sub
Kiviranta M. In: Oling R.
Out: Kiviranta M.

AI Match Summary

Portugal W in this World Cup Women matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portugal W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Portugal W
22%
Draws
18%
Finland W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Portugal W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Portugal W have won more games recently than Finland W.
  • Model gives Portugal W a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Portugal W Clean Sheet 68%
Finland W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugal W Finland W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 World Cup Women
Finland W vs Portugal W
3:1
Mar 3, 2026 World Cup Women
Portugal W vs Finland W
2:0
Feb 19, 2021 Euro Women
Finland W vs Portugal W
1:0
Nov 12, 2019 Euro Women
Portugal W vs Finland W
1:1
Oct 8, 2018 Friendly International Women
Portugal W vs Finland W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugal W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sousa Alves L. C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Santiago C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Finland W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal W 68 / 100
Finland W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugal W Finland W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugal W found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Finland W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Portugal W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portugal W VS Finland W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wales W642017:514
2Czech Republic W632118:811
3Albania W62139:147
4Montenegro W60156:231
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Switzerland W651018:516
2Turkey W641111:513
3Northern Ireland W620410:96
4Malta W60064:240
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugal W650117:415
2Finland W650115:615
3Slovakia W62048:176
4Latvia W60064:170
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Scotland W642024:214
2Belgium W642022:114
3Israel W620410:206
4Luxembourg W60061:340