Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista A3 Estadio Ulrico Mursa

Portuguesa Santista

1 - 0

Uniao Suzano

Our Tip

Match Events

40'

Couto A.

45'

Danilo Pereira

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Portuguesa Santista in this Paulista A3 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portuguesa Santista.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Portuguesa Santista

Draws

Uniao Suzano

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Portuguesa Santista

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Uniao Suzano haven't matched Portuguesa Santista's recent run of results.
Portuguesa Santista are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 21%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%

Portuguesa Santista Clean Sheet 68%

Uniao Suzano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Portuguesa Santista	Uniao Suzano
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	17	6
Draws	7	4
Losses	6	20
Goals Scored	1.75	0.43
Goals Conceded	0.5	2.14
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	0.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	2.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2026 Paulista A3

Portuguesa Santista vs Uniao Suzano

Possession: 50% - 43% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Jul 18, 2015 Paulista A4

Portuguesa Santista vs Uniao Suzano

Possession: 46% - 44% Cards: 1 - 4

0:0

May 16, 2015 Paulista A4

Uniao Suzano vs Portuguesa Santista

Possession: 54% - 48% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portuguesa Santista Compare

Top Goalscorer Danilo Pereira

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Uniao Suzano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.39

Avg xA / game 0.24

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuguesa Santista 95 / 100

Uniao Suzano 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Portuguesa Santista Uniao Suzano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Portuguesa Santista scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Uniao Suzano let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Portuguesa Santista remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Uniao Suzano lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portuguesa Santista VS Uniao Suzano

1.75 Goals Scored 0.43

0.5 Goals Conceded 2.14

63% Over 1.5 86%

50% Over 2.5 57%

13% Over 3.5 29%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portuguesa Santista	15	12	0	3	26:9	36
2	Marilia	15	9	5	1	23:6	32
3	Rio Preto EC	15	8	5	2	24:13	29
4	XV de Jau	15	8	3	4	16:11	27
5	Rio Claro	15	7	4	4	19:16	25
6	Uniao Barbarense	15	6	6	3	16:14	24
7	EC Sao Bernardo	15	6	5	4	22:15	23
8	Paulista	15	6	5	4	20:13	23
9	Uniao Sao Joao	15	6	4	5	16:15	22
10	Catanduva FC	15	5	6	4	16:15	21
11	Bandeirante	15	4	6	5	15:19	18
12	Rio Branco SP	15	4	4	7	13:24	16
13	Francana	15	3	1	11	13:22	10
14	Itapirense	15	2	3	10	14:26	9
15	Desportivo	15	1	5	9	8:25	8
16	Uniao Suzano	15	1	2	12	10:28	5