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Portuguesa vs Carabobo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio General Jose Antonio Paez, Araure
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Ramirez E.
(Penalty)
29'
Gonzalez L.
35'
Gonzalez A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga FUTVE game between Portuguesa and Carabobo finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carabobo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Portuguesa
30%
Draws
61%
Carabobo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Carabobo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Portuguesa haven't matched Carabobo's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Carabobo's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Portuguesa Clean Sheet 16%
Carabobo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portuguesa Carabobo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 16
Draws 13 7
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.1 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Portuguesa vs Carabobo
1:3
Jul 31, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Portuguesa vs Carabobo
1:0
Jan 31, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Carabobo vs Portuguesa
0:0
Aug 27, 2025 Copa Venezuela
Carabobo vs Portuguesa
5:0
Aug 19, 2025 Copa Venezuela
Portuguesa vs Carabobo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portuguesa Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno Quero L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Carabobo Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Orozco Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuguesa 19 / 100
Carabobo 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portuguesa Carabobo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carabobo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Portuguesa scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Carabobo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Portuguesa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Portuguesa VS Carabobo
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Portuguesa

(Home)
04 Nov
Portuguesa
0 : 3
Deportivo La Guaira
01 Nov
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 2
Portuguesa
28 Oct
Metropolitanos
0 : 0
Portuguesa
25 Oct
Portuguesa
1 : 3
Carabobo
21 Oct
Portuguesa
0 : 2
Zamora
Page 1 of 6

Carabobo

(Away)
04 Nov
Metropolitanos
0 : 2
Carabobo
01 Nov
Carabobo
1 : 1
Metropolitanos
28 Oct
Carabobo
3 : 1
Deportivo La Guaira
25 Oct
Portuguesa
1 : 3
Carabobo
21 Oct
Carabobo
2 : 1
Mineros
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carabobo 4 3 1 0 9:3 10
2 Deportivo La Guaira 4 1 2 1 8:7 5
3 Metropolitanos 4 0 3 1 3:5 3
4 Portuguesa 4 0 2 2 3:8 2
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Final)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Tachira 4 4 0 0 8:3 12
2 Caracas 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
3 Academia Puerto Cabello 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
4 Monagas 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Final)