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Portuguesa vs Deportivo La Guaira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio General Jose Antonio Paez, Araure
Wed, Nov 4, 2026
VS
09:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portuguesa host Deportivo La Guaira in the Liga FUTVE. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Deportivo La Guaira have shipped 1.45 goals a game lately, while Portuguesa have conceded 1.04 and scored 1.11. Past meetings favor Deportivo La Guaira slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 10, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.00 - 1.19) back Portuguesa to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Portuguesa
35%
Draws
41%
Deportivo La Guaira
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Deportivo La Guaira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Deportivo La Guaira come out ahead of Portuguesa on wins alone.
  • Deportivo La Guaira are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Portuguesa Clean Sheet 20%
Deportivo La Guaira Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portuguesa Deportivo La Guaira
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 12 9
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.11 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Portuguesa vs Deportivo La Guaira
0:0
May 23, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Portuguesa vs Deportivo La Guaira
0:2
May 9, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa
1:1
Apr 20, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa
0:0
Aug 31, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portuguesa 28 / 100
Deportivo La Guaira 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portuguesa Deportivo La Guaira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo La Guaira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portuguesa found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

Deportivo La Guaira has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Portuguesa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Portuguesa VS Deportivo La Guaira
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Portuguesa

(Home)
28 Oct
Metropolitanos
0 : 0
Portuguesa
25 Oct
Portuguesa
1 : 3
Carabobo
21 Oct
Portuguesa
0 : 2
Zamora
18 Oct
Universidad Central
0 : 0
Portuguesa
10 Oct
Portuguesa
0 : 0
Deportivo La Guaira
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo La Guaira

(Away)
28 Oct
Carabobo
3 : 1
Deportivo La Guaira
25 Oct
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 2
Metropolitanos
21 Oct
Deportivo La Guaira
3 : 0
Aragua
17 Oct
Deportivo La Guaira
1 : 2
Trujillanos
10 Oct
Portuguesa
0 : 0
Deportivo La Guaira
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carabobo 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
2 Metropolitanos 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
3 Deportivo La Guaira 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
4 Portuguesa 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Final)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Tachira 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Caracas 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
3 Academia Puerto Cabello 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
4 Monagas 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Final)