Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Potenza vs Benevento

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani, Potenza
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Mignani G.
42'
Castorani M.
49' Event
Mignani G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C game between Potenza and Benevento finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Benevento.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Potenza
28%
Draws
50%
Benevento
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Benevento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Benevento carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Benevento a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Potenza Clean Sheet 20%
Benevento Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Potenza Benevento
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 13 22
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 1.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Potenza vs Benevento
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Benevento vs Potenza
2:0
Jan 21, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Potenza vs Benevento
3:0
Sep 8, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Benevento vs Potenza
4:1
Aug 18, 2024 Coppa Italia Serie C
Benevento vs Potenza
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Potenza Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Benevento Compare

Top Goalscorer Mignani G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Potenza 24 / 100
Benevento 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Potenza Benevento

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Potenza scored in 71% of their last 35 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Potenza stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Benevento has conceded goals in 52% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Potenza VS Benevento
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Potenza

(Home)
26 Jul
Potenza
0 : 4
Juve Stabia
20 May
Ascoli
1 : 0
Potenza
17 May
Potenza
0 : 0
Ascoli
13 May
Potenza
3 : 1
Campobasso
10 May
Campobasso
0 : 3
Potenza
Page 1 of 7

Benevento

(Away)
26 Jul
Ostiamare
0 : 2
Benevento
16 May
Vicenza
1 : 4
Benevento
09 May
Benevento
1 : 0
Arezzo
26 Apr
Benevento
2 : 2
Audace Cerignola
19 Apr
Giugliano
1 : 1
Benevento
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Benevento38257674:2882
2Catania381913654:2570
3Salernitana38209950:4269
4Cosenza381910958:4067
5Casertana381991055:4466
6Crotone381871359:4061
7Monopoli3815111239:4156
8Casarano381681456:5756
9Audace Cerignola3814121250:5454
10Potenza3812131354:5649
11Atalanta U233811121553:5045
12Altamura3811121532:4945
13Latina3810121635:4442
14Cavese389151436:4242
15Picerno389131643:5540
16Sorrento389121739:5539
17Giugliano389101935:5237
18Foggia38692328:6027
19Siracusa389101948:5726
20Trapani3813101547:5424
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)