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Pozuelo de Alarcon vs CD Fortuna

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pozuelo de Alarcon in this Tercera Division - Group 7 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pozuelo de Alarcon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Pozuelo de Alarcon
6%
Draws
4%
CD Fortuna
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pozuelo de Alarcon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Pozuelo de Alarcon have won more games recently than CD Fortuna.
  • Pozuelo de Alarcon are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Pozuelo de Alarcon Clean Sheet 20%
CD Fortuna Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pozuelo de Alarcon CD Fortuna
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 10 5
Losses 9 21
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 0.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Pozuelo de Alarcon vs CD Fortuna
3:2
Dec 4, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Fortuna vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pozuelo de Alarcon 85 / 100
CD Fortuna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pozuelo de Alarcon CD Fortuna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pozuelo de Alarcon scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

CD Fortuna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Pozuelo de Alarcon has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pozuelo de Alarcon VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CF Fuenlabrada38227960:3373
2Real Madrid C381910965:3367
3Puerta Bonita381812842:3266
4Parla3818101060:3964
5AD Colmenar3817111059:4262
6DUX Internacional de Madrid381613946:4061
7Carabanchel3816121040:3260
8Mexico3815111252:4356
9Pozuelo de Alarcon3815101347:4155
10Colonia Moscardo3813141142:3153
11Rayo Majadahonda3812161052:3852
12Union Adarve3813131232:3452
13Atl. Madrid C3812121449:5248
14Villaviciosa de Odon381381734:4847
15Trival Valderas3810161250:5246
16Atletico Pinto381291742:5345
17CD Mostoles381191838:6039
18Navalcarnero388102041:6434
19Vicalvaro38782328:6929
20CD Fortuna38472717:6019