Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2013/2014

Vicalvaro

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pozuelo de Alarcon play Vicalvaro in the Tercera Division - Group 7 2013/2014. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pozuelo de Alarcon averaged 1.22 goals scored and 0.95 conceded. Vicalvaro averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. In past meetings, Pozuelo de Alarcon won 2, Vicalvaro won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 10, 2019 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Pozuelo de Alarcon and 0.75 for Vicalvaro. This points to a Pozuelo de Alarcon double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

Pozuelo de Alarcon

33%

Draws

23%

Vicalvaro

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Pozuelo de Alarcon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence

Pozuelo de Alarcon picked up more points recently compared to Vicalvaro.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 0.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 68%

Over 2.5 Goals 39%

Over 3.5 Goals 23%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%

Pozuelo de Alarcon Clean Sheet 27%

Vicalvaro Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 61%

Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pozuelo de Alarcon	Vicalvaro
Matches Played	37	30
Wins	14	6
Draws	13	7
Losses	10	17
Goals Scored	1.22	0.9
Goals Conceded	0.95	1.6

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Pozuelo de Alarcon vs Vicalvaro

Possession: 57% - 53% Cards: 2 - 4

1:1

Oct 21, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Vicalvaro vs Pozuelo de Alarcon

Possession: 50% - 56% Cards: 2 - 4

2:0

May 1, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Pozuelo de Alarcon vs Vicalvaro

Possession: 44% - 43% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Dec 15, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Vicalvaro vs Pozuelo de Alarcon

Possession: 54% - 57% Cards: 2 - 1

0:2

Mar 11, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Vicalvaro vs Pozuelo de Alarcon

Possession: 47% - 47% Cards: 3 - 1

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pozuelo de Alarcon 45 / 100

Vicalvaro 24 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pozuelo de Alarcon Vicalvaro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Pozuelo de Alarcon or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +22.3%

2.78

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +18.2%

3.03

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pozuelo de Alarcon attacking → ← attacking Vicalvaro

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pozuelo de Alarcon scored in 73% of their last 37 games.

Vicalvaro let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Pozuelo de Alarcon went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Vicalvaro lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 25

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Trival Valderas	42	24	11	7	65:33	83
2	Rayo Vallecano B	42	25	6	11	86:50	81
3	Union Adarve	42	23	12	7	60:30	81
4	San Sebastian Reyes	42	23	11	8	68:31	80
5	DUX Internacional de Madrid	42	25	5	12	69:46	80
6	Pozuelo de Alarcon	42	19	14	9	60:37	71
7	Rayo Majadahonda	42	20	9	13	71:57	69
8	San Fernando de Henares	42	18	13	11	58:40	67
9	RSD Alcala	42	18	13	11	50:32	67
10	Parla	42	16	15	11	52:50	63
11	Mexico	42	15	11	16	46:49	56
12	AD Colmenar	42	14	13	15	63:70	55
13	Alcorcon B	42	15	6	21	65:67	51
14	Atl. Madrid C	42	13	11	18	56:62	50
15	Atletico Pinto	42	12	14	16	58:61	50
16	AD Torrejon	42	13	11	18	56:64	50
17	Collado Villalba	42	10	15	17	37:56	45
18	Aravaca CF	42	10	12	20	44:65	42
19	Real Aranjuez	42	9	7	26	43:82	34
20	Carabanchel	42	5	16	21	33:68	31
21	Vicalvaro	42	5	13	24	22:65	28
22	Los Yebenes San Bruno	42	6	10	26	43:90	28