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Preston U18 vs Southampton U18 Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

FA Youth Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Doyle K.
20' Event
Mawene N.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Andrews J. In: Squires J.
Out: Andrews J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Southampton U18 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Preston U18
15%
Draws
51%
Southampton U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Southampton U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Preston U18 haven't matched Southampton U18's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Southampton U18 taking it.
  • Southampton U18 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Southampton U18, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Preston U18 Clean Sheet 17%
Southampton U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Preston U18 Southampton U18
Matches Played 15 31
Wins 7 16
Draws 0 2
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.53 2.52
Goals Conceded 2.2 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2023 FA Youth Cup
Preston U18 vs Southampton U18
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Preston U18 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

Southampton U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Doyle K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ballard D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Preston U18 10 / 100
Southampton U18 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Preston U18 Southampton U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Southampton U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Preston U18 scored in 80% of their last 15 outings.

Defensive concern: Southampton U18 conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Preston U18 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Preston U18 VS Southampton U18
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Preston U18

(Home)
17 Jan
Manchester United U18
5 : 2
Preston U18
02 Mar
Preston U18
1 : 3
Southampton U18
06 Feb
Luton U18
2 : 3
Preston U18
18 Jan
Gillingham U18
1 : 2
Preston U18
18 Jan
Sheffield Wed U18
1 : 0
Preston U18
Page 1 of 3

Southampton U18

(Away)
19 Sept
Southampton U18
2 : 3
Reading U18
12 Sept
Ipswich U18
1 : 4
Southampton U18
05 Sept
Arsenal U18
1 : 0
Southampton U18
29 Aug
Southampton U18
7 : 4
Norwich U18
22 Aug
Crystal Palace U18
1 : 4
Southampton U18
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Watford U18 3
Everton U18 1
Newcastle Utd U18 2
Arsenal U18 3
Cambridge Utd U18 1
Chelsea U18 0
Sheffield Wed U18 3
Leicester U18 2
Manchester City U18 4
Brighton U18 1
Fleetwood Town U18 3
Middlesbrough U18 0
Oxford Utd U18 3
Cardiff U18 1
AFC Wimbledon U18 1
Leeds U18 3
Ipswich U18 2
Nottingham U18 1
Port Vale U18 0
Liverpool U18 1
Stoke City U18 1
Manchester United U18 0
Burnley U18 0
West Ham U18 1
Luton U18 3
QPR U18 1
Gillingham U18 1
Preston U18 2
Aston Villa U18 1
Southampton U18 4
Sunderland U18 0
Fulham U18 2
1/8-finals
Watford U18 2
Arsenal U18 4
Cambridge Utd U18 2
Sheffield Wed U18 1
Manchester City U18 5
Fleetwood Town U18 0
Oxford Utd U18 3
Leeds U18 0
Ipswich U18 2
Liverpool U18 0
Stoke City U18 1
West Ham U18 4
Luton U18 2
Preston U18 3
Southampton U18 3
Fulham U18 2
Quarter-finals
Arsenal U18 3
Cambridge Utd U18 2
Manchester City U18 3
Oxford Utd U18 0
Ipswich U18 2
West Ham U18 4
Preston U18 1
Southampton U18 3
Semi-finals
Arsenal U18 2
Manchester City U18 1
West Ham U18 6
Southampton U18 1
Final
Arsenal U18 1
West Ham U18 5