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Primeiro de Maio vs Redonda

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Girabola 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Girabola 2025/2026 game between Primeiro de Maio and Redonda finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Primeiro de Maio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Primeiro de Maio
35%
Draws
19%
Redonda
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Primeiro de Maio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Primeiro de Maio come out ahead of Redonda on wins alone.
  • Primeiro de Maio are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Girabola 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Primeiro de Maio Clean Sheet 68%
Redonda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Primeiro de Maio Redonda
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.1 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Girabola
Primeiro de Maio vs Redonda
2:0
Nov 29, 2025 Girabola
Redonda vs Primeiro de Maio
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Primeiro de Maio 95 / 100
Redonda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Primeiro de Maio Redonda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Primeiro de Maio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Primeiro de Maio scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Redonda conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Primeiro de Maio went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Primeiro de Maio VS Redonda
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Primeiro de Maio

(Home)
12 Sept
C.R.D. Libolo
2 : 1
Primeiro de Maio
05 Sept
Academica
0 : 2
Primeiro de Maio
27 Aug
Primeiro de Maio
1 : 2
Primeiro de Agosto
23 Aug
Primeiro de Maio
1 : 1
Kabuscorp
24 May
Sagrada
1 : 1
Primeiro de Maio
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Redonda

(Away)
24 May
Primeiro de Agosto
1 : 1
Redonda
20 May
Redonda
1 : 1
Wiliete
16 May
Bravos do Maquis
1 : 0
Redonda
09 May
Redonda
0 : 2
Sagrada
06 May
Desportivo Huila
2 : 0
Redonda
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Petro Atletico 30 22 6 2 63:15 72
2 Wiliete 30 18 8 4 49:29 62
3 Primeiro de Agosto 30 15 12 3 47:22 57
4 Desportivo Huila 30 12 10 8 35:26 46
5 Kabuscorp 30 10 12 8 26:22 42
6 Bravos do Maquis 30 12 6 12 33:30 42
7 Interclube 30 9 13 8 35:28 40
8 CD Lunda Sul 30 10 10 10 27:28 40
9 Primeiro de Maio 30 10 7 13 29:33 37
10 Sagrada 30 8 11 11 33:40 35
11 Sao Salvador 30 9 8 13 27:33 35
12 Academica 30 8 11 11 25:30 35
13 C.R.D. Libolo 30 9 7 14 26:37 34
14 Luanda City 30 9 6 15 21:45 33
15 Redonda 30 5 6 19 15:47 21
16 Guelson 30 6 3 21 24:50 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)