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Pro Patria vs Alcione Milano

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Carlo Speroni, Busto Arsizio
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Felicioli G.
46'
Sub
Tordini M. In: Plescia V.
Out: Tordini M.
57'
Sub
Felicioli G. In: Travaglini C.
Out: Felicioli G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Pro Patria and Alcione Milano finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Pro Patria
30%
Draws
26%
Alcione Milano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pro Patria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alcione Milano come out ahead of Pro Patria on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Pro Patria's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Pro Patria Clean Sheet 68%
Alcione Milano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pro Patria Alcione Milano
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 5 11
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.28 1
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Pro Patria vs Alcione Milano
1:1
Nov 3, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Alcione Milano vs Pro Patria
2:0
Aug 17, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Pro Patria vs Alcione Milano
1:2
Apr 6, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Pro Patria vs Alcione Milano
0:0
Nov 24, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Alcione Milano vs Pro Patria
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pro Patria Compare

Top Goalscorer Travaglini C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Alcione Milano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pro Patria 68 / 100
Alcione Milano 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pro Patria Alcione Milano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pro Patria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pro Patria went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Pro Patria's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Alcione Milano has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Pro Patria VS Alcione Milano
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pro Patria

(Home)
16 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 0
Crema
12 Sept
US Pontedera
2 : 3
Pro Patria
06 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 1
Oltrepo
12 Aug
Pro Patria
3 : 1
Gozzano
09 Aug
Pro Patria
2 : 1
Imperia Calcio
Page 1 of 6

Alcione Milano

(Away)
17 Sept
Pro Vercelli
2 : 2
Alcione Milano
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3
Alcione Milano
07 Sept
Alcione Milano
1 : 1
Treviso
30 Aug
Dolomiti Bellunesi
0 : 0
Alcione Milano
21 Aug
Alcione Milano
3 : 1
Renate
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 38 27 8 3 69:26 89
2 Union Brescia 38 19 12 7 49:24 69
3 Renate 38 17 13 8 53:37 64
4 Lecco 38 18 10 10 47:34 64
5 Trento 38 16 15 7 58:42 63
6 Cittadella 38 17 8 13 45:43 59
7 Lumezzane 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
8 Alcione Milano 38 15 10 13 35:28 55
9 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 50:48 53
10 Giana Erminio 38 14 10 14 38:39 52
11 AlbinoLeffe 38 13 11 14 51:49 50
12 Inter U23 38 12 12 14 40:41 48
13 Novara 38 9 20 9 40:39 47
14 Pro Vercelli 38 13 7 18 39:55 46
15 Ospitaletto 38 10 15 13 41:43 45
16 Pergolettese 38 10 11 17 37:50 41
17 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 10 10 18 38:61 40
18 Virtus Verona 38 3 16 19 34:62 25
19 Pro Patria 38 4 11 23 34:70 23
20 Triestina 38 9 9 20 45:59 12
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)