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Pro Vercelli vs Cittadella

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Silvio Piola
Our Tip

Match Events

48'
Huiberts D.
50'
Sub
Furno C. In: Carosso A.
Out: Furno C.
55'
D'Alessio F.

AI Match Summary

Pro Vercelli host Cittadella in the Serie C - Group A. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Pro Vercelli at 0.88 goals for, 1.63 against; Cittadella at 1.13 for, 1.25 against. Past meetings favor Cittadella slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.38) point toward Cittadella. Cittadella in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Pro Vercelli
33%
Draws
40%
Cittadella
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Cittadella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Cittadella has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Pro Vercelli.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Cittadella.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie C - Group A provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Pro Vercelli Clean Sheet 17%
Cittadella Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pro Vercelli Cittadella
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Pro Vercelli vs Cittadella
0:2
Nov 2, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Pro Vercelli
2:1
May 18, 2018 Serie B
Cittadella vs Pro Vercelli
2:0
Dec 28, 2017 Serie B
Pro Vercelli vs Cittadella
1:2
Feb 4, 2017 Serie B
Cittadella vs Pro Vercelli
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pro Vercelli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Cittadella Compare

Top Goalscorer Redolfi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pro Vercelli 28 / 100
Cittadella 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pro Vercelli Cittadella

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pro Vercelli scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Cittadella let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Pro Vercelli went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Cittadella lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pro Vercelli VS Cittadella
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vicenza38278369:2689
2Union Brescia381912749:2469
3Renate381713853:3764
4Lecco3818101047:3464
5Trento381615758:4263
6Cittadella381781345:4359
7Lumezzane3814141046:3956
8Alcione Milano3815101335:2855
9Arzignano381581550:4853
10Giana Erminio3814101438:3952
11AlbinoLeffe3813111451:4950
12Inter U233812121440:4148
13Novara38920940:3947
14Pro Vercelli381371839:5546
15Ospitaletto3810151341:4345
16Pergolettese3810111737:5041
17Dolomiti Bellunesi3810101838:6140
18Virtus Verona383161934:6225
19Pro Patria384112334:7023
20Triestina38992045:5912