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Pro Vercelli vs Cittadella

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Silvio Piola, Vercelli
Our Tip

Match Events

48'
Huiberts D.
50'
Sub
Furno C. In: Carosso A.
Out: Furno C.
55'
D'Alessio F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Pro Vercelli and Cittadella finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cittadella.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Pro Vercelli
15%
Draws
58%
Cittadella
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cittadella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cittadella come out ahead of Pro Vercelli on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Cittadella taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cittadella have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Pro Vercelli Clean Sheet 20%
Cittadella Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pro Vercelli Cittadella
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Pro Vercelli vs Cittadella
0:2
Nov 2, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Pro Vercelli
2:1
May 18, 2018 Serie B
Cittadella vs Pro Vercelli
2:0
Dec 28, 2017 Serie B
Pro Vercelli vs Cittadella
1:2
Feb 4, 2017 Serie B
Cittadella vs Pro Vercelli
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pro Vercelli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Cittadella Compare

Top Goalscorer Redolfi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pro Vercelli 12 / 100
Cittadella 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pro Vercelli Cittadella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cittadella Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pro Vercelli scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Cittadella's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Pro Vercelli has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pro Vercelli VS Cittadella
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pro Vercelli

(Home)
02 Sept
Carpi
2 : 1
Pro Vercelli
30 Aug
Arzignano
1 : 0
Pro Vercelli
23 Aug
Pro Vercelli
1 : 1
Desenzano Calvina
14 Aug
Pro Vercelli
2 : 1
Pergolettese
26 Jul
Pisa
0 : 1
Pro Vercelli
Page 1 of 6

Cittadella

(Away)
06 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 1
Lumezzane
03 Sept
Cittadella
4 : 1
Renate
31 Aug
Renate
0 : 1
Cittadella
22 Aug
Cittadella
2 : 0
Pergolettese
15 Aug
Cittadella
3 : 2
Atalanta U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 38 27 8 3 69:26 89
2 Union Brescia 38 19 12 7 49:24 69
3 Renate 38 17 13 8 53:37 64
4 Lecco 38 18 10 10 47:34 64
5 Trento 38 16 15 7 58:42 63
6 Cittadella 38 17 8 13 45:43 59
7 Lumezzane 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
8 Alcione Milano 38 15 10 13 35:28 55
9 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 50:48 53
10 Giana Erminio 38 14 10 14 38:39 52
11 AlbinoLeffe 38 13 11 14 51:49 50
12 Inter U23 38 12 12 14 40:41 48
13 Novara 38 9 20 9 40:39 47
14 Pro Vercelli 38 13 7 18 39:55 46
15 Ospitaletto 38 10 15 13 41:43 45
16 Pergolettese 38 10 11 17 37:50 41
17 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 10 10 18 38:61 40
18 Virtus Verona 38 3 16 19 34:62 25
19 Pro Patria 38 4 11 23 34:70 23
20 Triestina 38 9 9 20 45:59 12
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)