Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Probiy Horodenka vs LNZ Cherkasy Prediction & H2H Stats

Ukraine Ukraine

Ukrainian Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Dajko A.

AI Match Summary

LNZ Cherkasy in this Ukrainian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Probiy Horodenka
15%
Draws
85%
LNZ Cherkasy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: LNZ Cherkasy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • LNZ Cherkasy have won more games recently than Probiy Horodenka.
  • LNZ Cherkasy are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • LNZ Cherkasy arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor LNZ Cherkasy, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Probiy Horodenka Clean Sheet 13%
LNZ Cherkasy Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Probiy Horodenka LNZ Cherkasy
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 4 8
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 0.9 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.79 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2025 Ukrainian Cup
Probiy Horodenka vs LNZ Cherkasy
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Probiy Horodenka Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

LNZ Cherkasy Compare

Top Goalscorer Dajko A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Probiy Horodenka 14 / 100
LNZ Cherkasy 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Probiy Horodenka LNZ Cherkasy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LNZ Cherkasy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Probiy Horodenka scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

LNZ Cherkasy has conceded goals in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Away concern: LNZ Cherkasy has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Probiy Horodenka VS LNZ Cherkasy
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Probiy Horodenka

(Home)
26 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2
Lokomotyv Kyiv
19 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka 2
4 : 2
Probiy Horodenka
13 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2
Fenix Mariupol
09 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
1 : 2
Oleksandriya
05 Sept
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
6 : 0
Probiy Horodenka
Page 1 of 6

LNZ Cherkasy

(Away)
20 Sept
Shakhtar
3 : 0
LNZ Cherkasy
16 Sept
Bukovyna
0 : 1
LNZ Cherkasy
12 Sept
LNZ Cherkasy
3 : 1
Obolon
06 Sept
Dynamo Kyiv
0 : 0
LNZ Cherkasy
30 Aug
LNZ Cherkasy
0 : 1
Veres Rivne
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Denhoff Denykhivka 3
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 2
Dinaz Vyshgorod 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 3
Kolos Polonne 1
Naftovyk Dolyna 0
FC Kharkiv 2
Obolon 0
Lokomotyv Kyiv 3
Kolos Kovalivka 2
Korosten 0
Veres Rivne 4
Nyva Vinnytsya 3
UCSA 0
Hirnyk-Sport 1
Trostyanets 0
FC Chernihiv 1
Atlet Kiev 0
Kulikiv 0
Kryvbas 3
FC Vilkhivtsi 1
Olympia Savyntsi 2
Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka 0
Lisne 4
Epitsentr 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Ch. Odesa 2
Zorya 1
Fazenda 0
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
FC Uzhhorod 1
Fenix Mariupol 2
Metalist Kharkiv 2
Mayak Sarny 0
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Probiy Horodenka 0
Kormil Yavoriv 1
Rukh Lviv 2
TBD -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Lozova 0
Bukovyna 3
Penuel Kryvyi Rih 0
Karpaty Lviv 8
Real Pharma Odesa 0
Nyva Ternopil 3
Iron 1
SC Poltava 5
Oleksandriya -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Kyiv -
Polissya Stavky 3
Rebel Kyiv 0
TBD -
Shakhtar -
Livyi Bereg 1
Kudrivka 0
Victoria 1
Vorskla Poltava 0
Karbon Cherkasy 1
Inhulets 2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
Skala 1911 0
1/16-finals
Denhoff Denykhivka 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 2
Kolos Polonne 1
FC Kharkiv 4
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Veres Rivne 0
Nyva Vinnytsya 7
Hirnyk-Sport 0
FC Chernihiv 3
Kryvbas 0
Olympia Savyntsi 1
Lisne 2
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Ch. Odesa 1
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
Fenix Mariupol 2
Metalist Kharkiv 0
LNZ Cherkasy 2
Rukh Lviv 3
Polissya Zhytomyr 0
Bukovyna 1
Karpaty Lviv 0
Nyva Ternopil 3
SC Poltava 0
Oleksandriya 1
Dynamo Kyiv 2
Polissya Stavky 0
Shakhtar 1
Livyi Bereg 0
Victoria 1
Inhulets 4
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
1/8-finals
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 3
FC Kharkiv 4
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Nyva Vinnytsya 0
FC Chernihiv 2
Lisne 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 1
Fenix Mariupol 2
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Rukh Lviv 0
Bukovyna 2
Nyva Ternopil 1
Dynamo Kyiv 2
Shakhtar 1
Victoria 0
Inhulets 1
Quarter-finals
FC Kharkiv 3
Lokomotyv Kyiv 0
FC Chernihiv 1
Fenix Mariupol 0
LNZ Cherkasy 0
Bukovyna 1
Dynamo Kyiv 2
Inhulets 0
Semi-finals
FC Kharkiv 0
FC Chernihiv 1
Bukovyna 0
Dynamo Kyiv 3
Final
FC Chernihiv 1
Dynamo Kyiv 3