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Progresso vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Vitor J.
45' Event
Vitor J.
60' Event
Josue

AI Match Summary

Gremio Atletico Sampaio in this Roraimense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gremio Atletico Sampaio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Progresso
28%
Draws
50%
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Gremio Atletico Sampaio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Gremio Atletico Sampaio have won more games recently than Progresso.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Gremio Atletico Sampaio taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Gremio Atletico Sampaio have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Progresso Clean Sheet 10%
Gremio Atletico Sampaio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresso Gremio Atletico Sampaio
Matches Played 31 51
Wins 2 27
Draws 3 7
Losses 26 17
Goals Scored 0 1.88
Goals Conceded 2 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Roraimense
Progresso vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio
0:3
Feb 15, 2025 Roraimense
Progresso vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio
1:2
Mar 16, 2024 Roraimense
Progresso vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio
0:6
May 10, 2023 Roraimense
Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Progresso
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Progresso Compare

Top Goalscorer Josue
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Gremio Atletico Sampaio Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitor J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresso 22 / 100
Gremio Atletico Sampaio 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresso Gremio Atletico Sampaio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Gremio Atletico Sampaio let in goals in 73% of their last 51 matches.

Gremio Atletico Sampaio's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Progresso scored in 29% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Progresso VS Gremio Atletico Sampaio
0 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Progresso

(Home)
18 Mar
Nautico FC
2 : 0
Progresso
14 Mar
Bare
4 : 0
Progresso
11 Mar
Atl. Roraima
1 : 4
Progresso
06 Mar
Progresso
0 : 7
River Esporte Clube
28 Feb
Progresso
3 : 1
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
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Gremio Atletico Sampaio

(Away)
14 Jun
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
3 : 1
Manaus FC
30 May
Sao Raimundo RR
4 : 0
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
23 May
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
0 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
16 May
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
2 : 3
Monte Roraima
10 May
Manauara
0 : 0
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gremio Atletico Sampaio751123:516
2Bare751119:316
3Monte Roraima742112:414
4Sao Raimundo RR741215:713
5Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)73139:1110
6Nautico FC71159:224
7Atl. Roraima70343:203
8Progresso70251:192
Promotion - Roraimense 2025 (Play Offs)