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Progresul Mogosoaia vs Kids Tampa Brasov

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Progresul Mogosoaia play Kids Tampa Brasov in the Liga 3 - Seria 4. It looks like a close match. Recently, Progresul Mogosoaia averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. Kids Tampa Brasov averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Progresul Mogosoaia won 3, Kids Tampa Brasov won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Progresul Mogosoaia and 1.31 for Kids Tampa Brasov. This points to a Progresul Mogosoaia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Progresul Mogosoaia
15%
Draws
36%
Kids Tampa Brasov
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Progresul Mogosoaia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Progresul Mogosoaia picked up more points recently compared to Kids Tampa Brasov.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Progresul Mogosoaia Clean Sheet 18%
Kids Tampa Brasov Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Progresul Mogosoaia Kids Tampa Brasov
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 3 6
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Progresul Mogosoaia vs Kids Tampa Brasov
1:0
Nov 7, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Kids Tampa Brasov vs Progresul Mogosoaia
0:2
Aug 30, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Progresul Mogosoaia vs Kids Tampa Brasov
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Progresul Mogosoaia 48 / 100
Kids Tampa Brasov 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Progresul Mogosoaia Kids Tampa Brasov

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Progresul Mogosoaia or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Progresul Mogosoaia attacking → ← attacking Kids Tampa Brasov

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Progresul Mogosoaia scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Kids Tampa Brasov let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Progresul Mogosoaia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Kids Tampa Brasov lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 36
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88