Sport Picks
Provincial Ovalle vs Arturo Fernandez Vial
Chile
Segunda Division 2024 
Match Events
1'
1'
Bogmis J.
18'
18'
Arias M.
21'
21'
Leiva B.
AI Match Summary
The Segunda Division 2024 game between Provincial Ovalle and Arturo Fernandez Vial finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Provincial Ovalle
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- Arturo Fernandez Vial haven't matched Provincial Ovalle's recent run of results.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Provincial Ovalle taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Provincial Ovalle Clean Sheet 20%
Arturo Fernandez Vial Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Provincial Ovalle | Arturo Fernandez Vial |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 4 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 14 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 28, 2024 Segunda Division
Provincial Ovalle vs Arturo Fernandez Vial
1:1
Mar 16, 2024 Segunda Division
Arturo Fernandez Vial vs Provincial Ovalle
1:1
Sep 3, 2005 Liga de Ascenso
Provincial Ovalle vs Arturo Fernandez Vial
2:2
Jun 5, 2005 Liga de Ascenso
Arturo Fernandez Vial vs Provincial Ovalle
3:1
Aug 2, 2003 Liga de Ascenso
Provincial Ovalle vs Arturo Fernandez Vial
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Provincial Ovalle Compare
Top Goalscorer Arias M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25
Arturo Fernandez Vial Compare
Top Goalscorer Bogmis J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Provincial Ovalle 42 / 100
Arturo Fernandez Vial 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Provincial Ovalle Arturo Fernandez Vial
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Provincial Ovalle found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).
Arturo Fernandez Vial's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Arturo Fernandez Vial lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Provincial Ovalle VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Provincial Ovalle
(Home) 04 Jul
Provincial Ovalle
2 : 1 Atletico Colina
26 Jun
Santiago City
3 : 2 Provincial Ovalle
21 Jun
Provincial Ovalle
1 : 6 Real San Joaquin
08 Jun
Provincial Ovalle
1 : 1 Trasandino
30 May
Concon National
1 : 0 Provincial Ovalle
Page 1 of 6
04 Jul
Provincial Ovalle
2 : 1 Atletico Colina
21 Jun
Provincial Ovalle
1 : 6 Real San Joaquin
08 Jun
Provincial Ovalle
1 : 1 Trasandino
25 May
Provincial Ovalle
1 : 1 Brujas Salamanca
27 Apr
Provincial Ovalle
0 : 1 Santiago City
Page 1 of 4
Arturo Fernandez Vial
(Away) 20 Oct
Arturo Fernandez Vial
1 : 3 Concon National
13 Oct
Deportes Rengo
3 : 2 Arturo Fernandez Vial
09 Oct
Arturo Fernandez Vial
0 : 1 San Antonio Unido
06 Oct
Arturo Fernandez Vial
1 : 2 Linares Unido
15 Sept
General Velasquez
0 : 0 Arturo Fernandez Vial
Page 1 of 6
13 Oct
Deportes Rengo
3 : 2 Arturo Fernandez Vial
15 Sept
General Velasquez
0 : 0 Arturo Fernandez Vial
31 Aug
Real San Joaquin
2 : 1 Arturo Fernandez Vial
12 Aug
Trasandino
1 : 0 Arturo Fernandez Vial
28 Jul
Provincial Ovalle
1 : 1 Arturo Fernandez Vial
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | D. Concepcion | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 53:23 | 57 |
| 2 | Melipilla | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 59:25 | 54 |
| 3 | D. Puerto Montt | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 31:26 | 42 |
| 4 | Deportes Rengo | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:28 | 39 |
| 5 | San Antonio Unido | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 31:41 | 39 |
| 6 | General Velasquez | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 40:33 | 37 |
| 7 | Osorno | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 42:43 | 36 |
| 8 | Provincial Ovalle | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 28:31 | 33 |
| 9 | Concon National | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 33:36 | 32 |
| 10 | Linares Unido | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 31:32 | 30 |
| 11 | Trasandino | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 23:37 | 30 |
| 12 | Real San Joaquin | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 27:40 | 27 |
| 13 | Lautaro | 26 | 8 | 3 | 15 | 29:52 | 27 |
| 14 | Arturo Fernandez Vial | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 22:35 | 8 |
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