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PSM Makassar vs Dewa United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Gelora BJ Habibie, Parepare City
Sat, Nov 28, 2026
VS
08:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

PSM Makassar host Dewa United in the Super League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. PSM Makassar have averaged 1.03 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Dewa United's 1.63 scored and 0.97 conceded. Head-to-head, PSM Makassar have won 2 to Dewa United's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.69, favoring Dewa United. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
PSM Makassar
20%
Draws
48%
Dewa United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dewa United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dewa United lately — more wins on the board than PSM Makassar.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
PSM Makassar Clean Sheet 13%
Dewa United Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSM Makassar Dewa United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 18
Draws 7 6
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.03 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Super League
PSM Makassar vs Dewa United
0:2
Nov 9, 2025 Super League
Dewa United vs PSM Makassar
0:1
Jan 27, 2025 Super League
Dewa United vs PSM Makassar
3:2
Aug 26, 2024 Super League
PSM Makassar vs Dewa United
3:1
Nov 12, 2023 Super League
Dewa United vs PSM Makassar
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSM Makassar 30 / 100
Dewa United 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSM Makassar Dewa United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSM Makassar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSM Makassar scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Dewa United conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

PSM Makassar has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

PSM Makassar VS Dewa United
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

PSM Makassar

(Home)
07 Nov
Borneo
1 : 1
PSM Makassar
03 Nov
De Red
0 : 2
PSM Makassar
31 Oct
PSM Makassar
0 : 1
Madura United
26 Oct
FC Bhayangkara
0 : 0
PSM Makassar
22 Oct
PSM Makassar
1 : 0
Persebaya
Page 1 of 6

Dewa United

(Away)
06 Nov
PSIM Yogyakarta
1 : 2
Dewa United
03 Nov
Dewa United
3 : 1
Persita
31 Oct
Dewa United
2 : 1
Persija Jakarta
25 Oct
Arema FC
4 : 0
Dewa United
20 Oct
Dewa United
2 : 0
Persijap Jepara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persija Jakarta 9 7 0 2 19:8 21
2 Dewa United 9 6 2 1 16:12 20
3 Bali United 9 6 1 2 26:9 19
4 Madura United 9 6 1 2 16:10 19
5 Persib Bandung 9 5 1 3 16:10 16
6 Persita 8 4 3 1 17:11 15
7 Java United 9 4 3 2 14:11 13
8 Persebaya 9 3 4 2 10:8 13
9 FC Bhayangkara 9 2 6 1 12:11 12
10 Garudayaksa 9 3 2 4 12:16 11
11 Borneo 8 3 1 4 8:10 10
12 PSM Makassar 9 2 4 3 10:14 10
13 Persik Kediri 9 3 1 5 9:14 10
14 Arema FC 9 2 3 4 17:20 9
15 Isenmulang Kalteng 9 2 2 5 4:16 6
16 PSS Sleman 9 1 2 6 12:17 5
17 PSIM Yogyakarta 9 1 2 6 6:14 5
18 Persijap Jepara 9 0 2 7 5:18 2
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