Sport Picks
PSPS Riau vs Sumsel United
Indonesia
Championship 2025/2026 Kaharudin Nasution Sport Center Rumbai Stadium, Pekanbaru 
Match Events
28'
28'
Gamaroni de Carvalho A. A.
33'
33'
Wahyu D.
45'
45'
Juninho
AI Match Summary
PSPS Riau in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored PSPS Riau.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
20%
36%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PSPS Riau
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- PSPS Riau haven't matched Sumsel United's recent run of results.
- 44% — that's where the model lands on PSPS Riau taking it.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
PSPS Riau Clean Sheet 20%
Sumsel United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | PSPS Riau | Sumsel United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Championship
PSPS Riau vs Sumsel United
2:0
Jan 10, 2026 Championship
Sumsel United vs PSPS Riau
3:2
Oct 18, 2025 Championship
PSPS Riau vs Sumsel United
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
PSPS Riau Compare
Top Goalscorer Yasir M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Douglas Cruz
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Sumsel United Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
PSPS Riau 40 / 100
Sumsel United 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
PSPS Riau Sumsel United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PSPS Riau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
PSPS Riau scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Sumsel United conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
PSPS Riau went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
PSPS Riau VS Sumsel United
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
PSPS Riau
(Home) 19 Sept
PSPS Riau
2 : 1 Persiraja Aceh
11 Sept
PSIS Semarang
2 : 1 PSPS Riau
29 Aug
Persela Lamongan
1 : 0 PSPS Riau
02 May
Bekasi City
3 : 2 PSPS Riau
26 Apr
PSPS Riau
2 : 0 Sumsel United
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
PSPS Riau
2 : 1 Persiraja Aceh
26 Apr
PSPS Riau
2 : 0 Sumsel United
19 Apr
PSPS Riau
4 : 2 Persekat Tegal
12 Apr
PSPS Riau
3 : 1 Persikad Depok
28 Feb
PSPS Riau
0 : 0 Garudayaksa
Page 1 of 3
Sumsel United
(Away) 19 Sept
PSGC Ciamis
2 : 0 Sumsel United
13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2 PSMS Medan
02 May
Sumsel United
3 : 1 Persekat Tegal
26 Apr
PSPS Riau
2 : 0 Sumsel United
18 Apr
Sumsel United
1 : 1 Persikad Depok
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
PSGC Ciamis
2 : 0 Sumsel United
26 Apr
PSPS Riau
2 : 0 Sumsel United
04 Apr
Persiraja Aceh
2 : 0 Sumsel United
28 Mar
Isenmulang Kalteng
3 : 2 Sumsel United
14 Feb
PSMS Medan
3 : 1 Sumsel United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garudayaksa | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 49:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 64:34 | 51 |
| 3 | Bekasi City | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42:27 | 44 |
| 4 | Sumsel United | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40:33 | 42 |
| 5 | Persiraja Aceh | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 42:32 | 40 |
| 6 | PSPS Riau | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 50:45 | 37 |
| 7 | PSMS Medan | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33:31 | 36 |
| 8 | Persikad Depok | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 39:45 | 34 |
| 9 | Persekat Tegal | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 23:38 | 27 |
| 10 | Sriwijaya | 27 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 15:93 | 2 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSS Sleman | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 53:19 | 56 |
| 2 | Persipura Jayapura | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 44:17 | 56 |
| 3 | PS Barito Putera | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 41:18 | 53 |
| 4 | Tornado Pekanbaru | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 47:21 | 50 |
| 5 | Deltras Sidoarjo | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 39:33 | 42 |
| 6 | Persela Lamongan | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 34:26 | 41 |
| 7 | Persiku Kudus | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 35:41 | 27 |
| 8 | PSIS Semarang | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 22:50 | 23 |
| 9 | Balikpapan | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 23:42 | 19 |
| 10 | Persipal BU | 27 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 19:90 | 7 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
