Sport Picks

Stadium Background

PSV vs Sittard

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Zeefuik L.
42' Event
Romeny O.
46'
Sub
van Bommel R. In: Bouhamdi A.
Out: van Bommel R.

AI Match Summary

The Eredivisie game between PSV and Sittard finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
PSV
20%
Draws
35%
Sittard
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PSV

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Sittard haven't matched PSV's recent run of results.
  • Model gives PSV a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).
  • PSV have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46.4%
PSV Clean Sheet 68%
Sittard Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSV Sittard
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 2.77 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Eredivisie
PSV vs Sittard
2:2
Jan 17, 2026 Eredivisie
Sittard vs PSV
1:2
Oct 31, 2025 Eredivisie
PSV vs Sittard
5:2
May 3, 2025 Eredivisie
PSV vs Sittard
4:1
Sep 22, 2024 Eredivisie
Sittard vs PSV
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSV Compare

Top Goalscorer Flamingo R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandez N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Sittard Compare

Top Goalscorer Romeny O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Michut E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSV 95 / 100
Sittard 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSV Sittard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: PSV scored in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Sittard's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

PSV went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PSV VS Sittard
3.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

PSV

(Home)
10 Sept
PSV
1 : 1
Shakhtar
05 Sept
Ajax
1 : 3
PSV
30 Aug
Utrecht
1 : 6
PSV
23 Aug
PSV
5 : 1
Groningen
15 Aug
Excelsior
1 : 2
PSV
Page 1 of 6

Sittard

(Away)
06 Sept
Den Haag
2 : 3
Sittard
28 Aug
Groningen
2 : 3
Sittard
22 Aug
Sittard
0 : 2
AZ Alkmaar
15 Aug
Sittard
3 : 1
Cambuur
08 Aug
PSV
2 : 2
Sittard
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AZ Alkmaar 6 5 1 0 17:6 16
2 PSV 5 4 1 0 18:6 13
3 Twente 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
4 Feyenoord 5 3 2 0 13:7 11
5 Ajax 5 3 1 1 14:6 10
6 Excelsior 6 3 1 2 13:7 10
7 Sittard 6 3 1 2 12:14 10
8 G.A. Eagles 6 2 3 1 15:13 9
9 Groningen 6 2 2 2 12:13 8
10 Nijmegen 6 2 1 3 11:12 7
11 Sparta Rotterdam 5 1 2 2 9:9 5
12 Heerenveen 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
13 Utrecht 6 1 2 3 11:19 5
14 Zwolle 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
15 Telstar 5 1 1 3 5:11 4
16 Cambuur 6 1 1 4 9:18 4
17 Willem II 5 0 2 3 5:14 2
18 Den Haag 6 0 1 5 6:16 1
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)