Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Puebla de la Calzada

2 - 2

Villanovense

Our Tip

Match Events

Soltero M.

12'

Carrasco A.

24'

Jimenez V. G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Puebla de la Calzada

Draws

90%

Villanovense

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Villanovense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Villanovense lately — more wins on the board than Puebla de la Calzada.
Win probability leans Villanovense's way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%

Puebla de la Calzada Clean Sheet 10%

Villanovense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Puebla de la Calzada	Villanovense
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	8	12
Draws	10	7
Losses	13	11
Goals Scored	0.88	2
Goals Conceded	2.25	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Puebla de la Calzada vs Villanovense

Possession: 44% - 52% Cards: 4 - 2

2:2

Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Villanovense vs Puebla de la Calzada

Possession: 47% - 60% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Puebla de la Calzada Compare

Top Goalscorer Soltero M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Pinheiro A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Villanovense Compare

Top Goalscorer Carrasco A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Jimenez V. G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puebla de la Calzada 10 / 100

Villanovense 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Puebla de la Calzada Villanovense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Villanovense has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Puebla de la Calzada's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Puebla de la Calzada has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Puebla de la Calzada VS Villanovense

0.88 Goals Scored 2

2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38

75% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Don Benito	34	21	8	5	70:22	71
2	CD Badajoz	34	23	5	6	64:27	71
3	Moralo	34	17	11	6	54:32	62
4	CD Azuaga	34	18	8	8	53:31	62
5	Jaraiz	34	16	11	7	53:33	59
6	Cabeza del Buey	34	15	12	7	45:29	57
7	SP Villafranca	34	16	7	11	45:40	55
8	Villanovense	34	15	8	11	45:36	53
9	Montijo	34	13	7	14	43:42	46
10	Jerez CF	34	8	17	9	56:51	41
11	AD Llerenense	34	11	8	15	35:44	41
12	Puebla de la Calzada	34	9	11	14	35:48	38
13	Santa Amalia	34	9	7	18	30:52	34
14	Gevora	34	8	9	17	32:53	33
15	Pueblonuevo	34	9	6	19	29:55	33
16	CD Diocesano	34	6	12	16	33:63	30
17	Montehermoso	34	5	8	21	24:66	23
18	CD Calamonte	34	3	13	18	25:47	22