Sport Picks
Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas
Mexico
Liga MX Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla 
Match Events
25'
25'
Mustre E.
62'
62'
Sub
Gonzalez F. In: Alvarez E.
Out: Gonzalez F.
62'
62'
Sub
Carrillo J. In: Govea O.
Out: Carrillo J.
AI Match Summary
The Liga MX game between Puebla and Guadalajara Chivas finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
20%
52%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Puebla haven't matched Guadalajara Chivas's recent run of results.
- Model gives Guadalajara Chivas a 52% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Puebla Clean Sheet 10%
Guadalajara Chivas Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Puebla | Guadalajara Chivas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 Liga MX
Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas
1:1
Apr 19, 2026 Liga MX
Guadalajara Chivas vs Puebla
5:0
Sep 27, 2025 Liga MX
Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas
0:2
Apr 16, 2025 Liga MX
Guadalajara Chivas vs Puebla
1:0
Oct 26, 2024 Liga MX
Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Puebla Compare
Top Goalscorer Mustre E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Guadalajara Chivas Compare
Top Goalscorer Alvarado R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Puebla 10 / 100
Guadalajara Chivas 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Puebla Guadalajara Chivas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guadalajara Chivas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Puebla's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Puebla went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Guadalajara Chivas has conceded goals in 56% of their last 27 outings.
Scoring Trends
Puebla VS Guadalajara Chivas
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Puebla
(Home) 19 Sept
Puebla
1 : 1 Atlante
16 Sept
Puebla
0 : 1 Toluca
12 Sept
Necaxa
0 : 1 Puebla
30 Aug
Club America
2 : 0 Puebla
23 Aug
Puebla
3 : 2 Santos Laguna
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Puebla
1 : 1 Atlante
16 Sept
Puebla
0 : 1 Toluca
23 Aug
Puebla
3 : 2 Santos Laguna
01 Aug
Puebla
1 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas
01 Jul
Puebla
3 : 1 Tlaxcala
Page 1 of 3
Guadalajara Chivas
(Away) 14 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
3 : 0 UNAM Pumas
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis
0 : 3 Guadalajara Chivas
29 Aug
Pachuca
1 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas
22 Aug
Guadalajara Chivas
5 : 2 Club Tijuana
17 Aug
Santos Laguna
0 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis
0 : 3 Guadalajara Chivas
29 Aug
Pachuca
1 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas
17 Aug
Santos Laguna
0 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas
13 Aug
Seattle Sounders
1 : 2 Guadalajara Chivas
06 Aug
Los Angeles FC
2 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:6 | 19 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:6 | 17 |
| 3 | Club America | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:6 | 16 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16:14 | 15 |
| 5 | Puebla | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:11 | 14 |
| 6 | Atlas | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 7 | Queretaro | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 8 | Club Leon | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | 13 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 13 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | 12 |
| 11 | Pachuca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:8 | 11 |
| 12 | Monterrey | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 10 |
| 13 | Atletico San Luis | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:16 | 9 |
| 14 | Atlante | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8:13 | 8 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | 8 |
| 16 | Tigres UANL | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9:13 | 7 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6:13 | 4 |
| 18 | Juarez | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6:23 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
