Sport Picks
Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas
Mexico
Liga MX Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla 
AI Match Summary
Puebla host Guadalajara Chivas in the Liga MX. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Puebla have averaged 1.38 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Guadalajara Chivas's 1.38 scored and 0.88 conceded. Head-to-head, Puebla have won 1 to Guadalajara Chivas's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 5:0. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.69) point toward Guadalajara Chivas. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Puebla haven't matched Guadalajara Chivas's recent run of results.
- Model gives Puebla a 50% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Guadalajara Chivas have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Puebla | Guadalajara Chivas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Puebla scored in 68% of their last 28 games.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Puebla has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Guadalajara Chivas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Puebla
(Home)Guadalajara Chivas
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Tijuana | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Atlas | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Necaxa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 5 | Club America | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 6 | Pachuca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 7 | Toluca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 8 | Monterrey | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 9 | Puebla | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 10 | Queretaro | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 11 | Guadalajara Chivas | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 12 | UNAM Pumas | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 13 | Atletico San Luis | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 14 | Atlante | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 1 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 17 | Club Leon | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 18 | Juarez | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | 0 |
