Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Puerto Nuevo vs Deportivo Metalurgico

Argentina Argentina

Primera C 2025 Estadio Rubén Carlos Vallejos, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Pertossi D.
15' Event
Ritacco E.
62' Event
Ritacco E.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Puerto Nuevo advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Puerto Nuevo
44%
Draws
20%
Deportivo Metalurgico
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Deportivo Metalurgico carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Deportivo Metalurgico arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Puerto Nuevo, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Puerto Nuevo Clean Sheet 22%
Deportivo Metalurgico Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puerto Nuevo Deportivo Metalurgico
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 16
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 Primera C
Puerto Nuevo vs Deportivo Metalurgico
3:0
Oct 12, 2025 Primera C
Deportivo Metalurgico vs Puerto Nuevo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Puerto Nuevo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ritacco E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pertossi D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Deportivo Metalurgico Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puerto Nuevo 37 / 100
Deportivo Metalurgico 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puerto Nuevo Deportivo Metalurgico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Puerto Nuevo found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Puerto Nuevo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Deportivo Metalurgico conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Puerto Nuevo VS Deportivo Metalurgico
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Puerto Nuevo

(Home)
23 Jul
Argentino de Rosario
0 : 0
Puerto Nuevo
17 Jul
Puerto Nuevo
0 : 1
Fenix
12 Jul
Puerto Nuevo
1 : 0
Estrella Del Sur
05 Jul
Berazategui
0 : 2
Puerto Nuevo
28 Jun
Puerto Nuevo
2 : 1
Victoriano Arenas
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Metalurgico

(Away)
26 Jul
Deportivo Metalurgico
1 : 0
Estrella de Berisso
12 Jul
Atletico Pilar
1 : 1
Deportivo Metalurgico
04 Jul
Deportivo Metalurgico
1 : 0
Social Atletico Television
29 Jun
Juventud de Bernal
1 : 5
Deportivo Metalurgico
21 Jun
Deportivo Metalurgico
0 : 1
Nautico Hacoaj
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Deportivo Metalurgico2
Puerto Nuevo4