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Puertollano C.F. vs Illescas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Ramirez J.

AI Match Summary

Puertollano C.F. in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Puertollano C.F..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Puertollano C.F.
35%
Draws
56%
Illescas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Illescas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Puertollano C.F. lately — more wins on the board than Illescas.
  • Illescas are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Puertollano C.F. Clean Sheet 27%
Illescas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puertollano C.F. Illescas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 5
Draws 5 12
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.34 0.48
Goals Conceded 0.66 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Puertollano C.F. vs Illescas
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs Puertollano C.F.
0:0
Mar 25, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs Puertollano C.F.
0:0
Nov 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Puertollano C.F. vs Illescas
2:1
Feb 23, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Puertollano C.F. vs Illescas
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Puertollano C.F. Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramirez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Illescas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puertollano C.F. 25 / 100
Illescas 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puertollano C.F. Illescas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Illescas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Puertollano C.F. scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Illescas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Puertollano C.F. remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Puertollano C.F. VS Illescas
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Puertollano C.F.

(Home)
20 Sept
Real Avila
2 : 1
Puertollano C.F.
13 Sept
Puertollano C.F.
0 : 0
Atletico Paso
06 Sept
Puertollano C.F.
0 : 3
Gimnastica Segoviana
30 Aug
Don Benito
1 : 0
Puertollano C.F.
04 Aug
Socuellamos
1 : 0
Puertollano C.F.
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Illescas

(Away)
20 Sept
Quintanar del Rey
2 : 2
Illescas
13 Sept
Illescas
0 : 0
Socuellamos
05 Sept
CD Tarancon
0 : 1
Illescas
29 Aug
Illescas
0 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
18 Aug
Illescas
1 : 1
San Sebastian Reyes B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puertollano C.F. 34 22 8 4 54:21 74
2 CD Tarancon 34 22 7 5 62:25 73
3 Toledo 34 19 11 4 55:17 68
4 Albacete B 34 17 13 4 49:17 64
5 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 18 7 9 52:29 61
6 Villarrubia 34 15 8 11 42:35 53
7 Villacanas 34 12 12 10 29:26 48
8 San Clemente 34 12 11 11 36:44 47
9 CD Guadalajara B 34 11 10 13 30:37 43
10 Villarrobledo 34 10 13 11 30:36 43
11 Huracan de Balazote 34 12 5 17 33:45 41
12 Illescas 34 8 13 13 21:32 37
13 Marchamalo 34 10 7 17 38:47 37
14 La Solana 34 8 11 15 26:38 35
15 Azuqueca 34 7 13 14 34:39 34
16 CD Pedroneras 34 7 12 15 28:43 33
17 Sonseca 34 5 7 22 28:69 22
18 Cazalegas 34 4 6 24 17:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)