Sport Picks

Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal de Puntarenas Miguel Angel Lito Perez Treacy

Saprissa

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Puntarenas FC play Saprissa in the Primera Division 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Puntarenas FC averaged 1.19 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. Saprissa averaged 2.05 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Puntarenas FC won 1, Saprissa won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 26, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Puntarenas FC and 2.56 for Saprissa. This points to a Saprissa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%

Puntarenas FC

26%

Draws

50%

Saprissa

Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Saprissa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence

Puntarenas FC picked up more points recently compared to Saprissa.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 2.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 60%

Over 3.5 Goals 36%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%

Puntarenas FC Clean Sheet 10%

Saprissa Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Puntarenas FC	Saprissa
Matches Played	31	37
Wins	7	22
Draws	10	9
Losses	14	6
Goals Scored	1.19	2.05
Goals Conceded	1.29	1.03
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Primera Division

Puntarenas FC vs Saprissa

Possession: 57% - 43% Cards: 2 - 1

1:3

Jan 14, 2026 Primera Division

Saprissa vs Puntarenas FC

Possession: 44% - 45% Cards: 1 - 2

2:2

Oct 26, 2025 Primera Division

Saprissa vs Puntarenas FC

Possession: 60% - 46% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Sep 11, 2025 Primera Division

Puntarenas FC vs Saprissa

Possession: 44% - 48% Cards: 0 - 2

3:1

Apr 16, 2025 Primera Division

Puntarenas FC vs Saprissa

Possession: 53% - 46% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Puntarenas FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Saprissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Rodriguez T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.62

Avg xA / game 1.6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puntarenas FC 24 / 100

Saprissa 48 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Puntarenas FC Saprissa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Saprissa or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +50%

6.25

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.85

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Puntarenas FC attacking → ← attacking Saprissa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Puntarenas FC scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Saprissa let in goals in 70% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Puntarenas FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Saprissa lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 75

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.88

2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Herediano	18	12	2	4	26:10	38
2	Saprissa	18	10	4	4	34:19	34
3	Liberia	18	10	3	5	24:18	33
4	Cartagines	18	10	2	6	26:20	32
5	Alajuelense	18	7	5	6	28:20	26
6	Sporting FC	18	6	4	8	16:21	22
7	San Carlos	18	6	3	9	21:25	21
8	Puntarenas FC	18	4	4	10	22:29	16
9	Zeledon	18	2	8	8	19:30	14
10	Guadalupe	18	3	5	10	13:37	14