Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Pure Swansea in this FA Cup 2019/2020 tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
69%
15%
16%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pure Swansea
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
69%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Pure Swansea lately — more wins on the board than Caerleon.
- Pure Swansea are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Pure Swansea have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Pure Swansea, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Pure Swansea Clean Sheet 19%
Caerleon Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pure Swansea | Caerleon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 3 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 24 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 2.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.85 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 19, 2019 FAW Welsh Cup
Pure Swansea vs Caerleon
4:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pure Swansea 85 / 100
Caerleon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pure Swansea Caerleon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pure Swansea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Caerleon has conceded goals in 100% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Pure Swansea has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Pure Swansea's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Pure Swansea VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Pure Swansea
(Home) 11 Sept
Pure Swansea
4 : 0 Pontardawe
28 Aug
Pure Swansea
4 : 4 Pontypridd United
21 Aug
Caerau Ely
1 : 5 Pure Swansea
15 Aug
Pure Swansea
3 : 0 Llanelli
09 Aug
Baglan Dragons
0 : 3 Pure Swansea
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Pure Swansea
4 : 0 Pontardawe
28 Aug
Pure Swansea
4 : 4 Pontypridd United
15 Aug
Pure Swansea
3 : 0 Llanelli
18 Oct
Pure Swansea
1 : 6 Trefelin
21 Sept
Pure Swansea
5 : 0 Baglan Dragons
Page 1 of 4
Caerleon
(Away) 19 Oct
Pure Swansea
4 : 1 Caerleon
31 Oct
Afan Lido
2 : 0 Caerleon
03 Oct
Caerleon
2 : 1 Treharris Athletic
06 May
Caerleon
0 : 1 Taffs Well
04 May
Caerleon
1 : 2 Tata Steel
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19 Oct
Pure Swansea
4 : 1 Caerleon
31 Oct
Afan Lido
2 : 0 Caerleon
27 Apr
Cambrian United
1 : 0 Caerleon
20 Apr
AFC Porth
3 : 0 Caerleon
06 Apr
Goytre Utd
2 : 1 Caerleon
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ammanford Town 4
Cardiff Draconians 1
Builth 2
Ton Pentre 3
Garden Village 1
Goytre Utd 3
Cefn Cribwr 2
Tredegar Town 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chirk AAA FC 0
Llannefydd 3
Guilsfield 2
Brymbo 1
Cwmbran Celtic 2
Pontardawe 3
Croesyceiliog FC 2
Abergavenny Town 1
Holyhead 4
Montgomery 2
Blaenau 0
Buckley 2
Abertillery Bluebirds 3
Penparcau FC 1
Trefelin 2
Llanidloes Town 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Afan Lido 3
Monmouth 1
Aberbargoed Buds 3
Aberaeron 1
Holywell Town FC 2
Llandudno FC 3
Mynydd Isa 3
Llanfair United 5
Penybont -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Llanberis FC 0
Porthmadog 7
Coedpoeth 0
Gresford 5
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pontypridd United 3
Caerau Ely 1
Llantwit Major 0
Llandrindod 1
Greenfield 3
Caersws FC 1
Flint Town 9
Four Crosses 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
Nantlle Vale FC 2
Rhydymwyn 0
Corwen 2
Colwyn Bay 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Briton Ferry 2
Undy 3
Pure Swansea 4
Caerleon 1
Haverfordwest 5
Penlan Club 3
Cambrian United 7
Ynyshir Albions 3
Llanelli 2
Cwmamman United 1
Penrhyncoch 2
Cardiff Corries 1
Nefyn United 0
Bangor City 2
Llanrhaeadr 1
Prestatyn 4
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Waterloo Rovers 1
Mold Alexandra 8
Llanrug 1
Aberffraw 0
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor 1876 4
Penycae FC 3
Conwy Borough 1
Ruthin Town 2
Barry Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newtown -
Rhyl 2
Llangefni 0
Prestatyn Sports 2
Queens Park 3
Chepstow Town 3
Taffs Well 2
Cwmaman Institute 2
STM Sports 6
1/32-finals
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
Ammanford Town 3
Ton Pentre 1
Goytre Utd 6
Cefn Cribwr 4
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
Llannefydd 1
Guilsfield 5
Pontardawe 6
Croesyceiliog FC 1
Holyhead 0
Buckley 3
Abertillery Bluebirds 4
Llanidloes Town 3
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Afan Lido 2
Aberbargoed Buds 1
Llandudno FC 4
Llanfair United 1
Penybont -
TBD -
Porthmadog 4
Gresford 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
Pontypridd United 1
Llandrindod 0
Greenfield 1
Flint Town 3
TBD -
Bala -
Nantlle Vale FC 0
Colwyn Bay 1
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Undy 5
Pure Swansea 6
Haverfordwest 1
Cambrian United 2
Llanelli 0
Penrhyncoch 1
Bangor City 0
Prestatyn 3
TNS -
TBD -
Mold Alexandra 8
Llanrug 1
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
Bangor 1876 0
Ruthin Town 2
Barry Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Newtown -
Rhyl 3
Queens Park 0
Chepstow Town 0
STM Sports 5
1/16-finals
Carmarthen Town 0
Ammanford Town 4
Goytre Utd 0
Caernarfon 4
Cefn Druids 2
Guilsfield 0
Pontardawe 3
Buckley 1
Abertillery Bluebirds 0
Connahs Q. 3
Afan Lido 5
Llandudno FC 1
Penybont 6
Porthmadog 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Pontypridd United 0
Flint Town 2
Bala 0
Colwyn Bay 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Pure Swansea 3
Cambrian United 0
Penrhyncoch 1
Prestatyn 2
TNS 9
Mold Alexandra 0
Aberystwyth 2
Ruthin Town 1
Barry Town 0
Newtown 1
Rhyl 2
STM Sports 0
1/8-finals
Ammanford Town 0
Caernarfon 4
Cefn Druids 2
Pontardawe 0
Connahs Q. 8
Afan Lido 0
Penybont 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Flint Town 3
Colwyn Bay 2
Pure Swansea 0
Prestatyn 1
TNS 4
Aberystwyth 0
Newtown 4
Rhyl 1
Quarter-finals
Caernarfon 4
Cefn Druids 0
Connahs Q. 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Flint Town 0
Prestatyn 1
TNS 6
Newtown 1
Semi-finals
Caernarfon -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Prestatyn -
TNS -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
