Sport Picks

Wales

Cymru South 2022/2023

Carmarthen Town

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pure Swansea play Carmarthen Town in the Cymru South 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pure Swansea averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.86 conceded. Carmarthen Town averaged 1.76 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Pure Swansea won 0, Carmarthen Town won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 10, 2023 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Pure Swansea and 0.93 for Carmarthen Town. This points to a Carmarthen Town double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Pure Swansea

22%

Draws

49%

Carmarthen Town

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Carmarthen Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Pure Swansea picked up more points recently compared to Carmarthen Town.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 0.93 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 51%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

Pure Swansea Clean Sheet 24%

Carmarthen Town Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pure Swansea	Carmarthen Town
Matches Played	29	37
Wins	8	14
Draws	7	14
Losses	14	9
Goals Scored	1.17	1.76
Goals Conceded	1.86	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2023 Cymru South

Pure Swansea vs Carmarthen Town

Possession: 51% - 53% Cards: 4 - 3

0:5

Aug 13, 2022 Cymru South

Carmarthen Town vs Pure Swansea

Possession: 47% - 40% Cards: 4 - 1

5:0

Feb 26, 2022 Cymru South

Pure Swansea vs Carmarthen Town

Possession: 47% - 55% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Aug 28, 2021 Cymru South

Carmarthen Town vs Pure Swansea

Possession: 58% - 56% Cards: 1 - 0

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pure Swansea Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Carmarthen Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Parsons S. S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Walters G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pure Swansea 31 / 100

Carmarthen Town 46 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pure Swansea Carmarthen Town

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Carmarthen Town or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +38%

4.76

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pure Swansea attacking → ← attacking Carmarthen Town

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pure Swansea scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Carmarthen Town let in goals in 70% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Pure Swansea went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Carmarthen Town lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 56

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Barry Town	30	25	3	2	78:25	78
2	Llanelli	30	19	5	6	63:34	62
3	Briton Ferry	30	17	9	4	72:33	60
4	Carmarthen Town	30	16	4	10	66:41	52
5	Cambrian United	30	14	5	11	64:53	47
6	Afan Lido	30	13	8	9	61:52	47
7	Llantwit Major	30	13	6	11	46:40	45
8	Cwmbran Celtic	30	10	8	12	62:53	38
9	Pontardawe	30	12	1	17	51:73	37
10	Ammanford Town	30	8	9	13	40:57	33
11	Taffs Well	30	8	8	14	50:54	32
12	Goytre Utd	30	8	8	14	45:67	32
13	Abergavenny Town	30	9	5	16	35:60	32
14	Trefelin	30	7	6	17	47:70	27
15	Pure Swansea	30	6	8	16	30:64	26
16	Ynyshir Albions	30	7	3	20	33:67	24