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Purepechas vs Irapuato - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Primera Premier
Sat, Nov 28, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Purepechas host Irapuato in the Primera Premier. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Purepechas have averaged 0.67 scored and 1.11 conceded recently, against Irapuato's 1.76 scored and 1.24 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (0.56 - 1.75) back Irapuato to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Purepechas
15%
Draws
58%
Irapuato
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Irapuato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Purepechas haven't matched Irapuato's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Irapuato a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Purepechas Clean Sheet 12%
Irapuato Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Purepechas Irapuato
Matches Played 9 29
Wins 2 16
Draws 2 5
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 0.67 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Purepechas 22 / 100
Irapuato 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Purepechas Irapuato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Irapuato Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Irapuato has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Purepechas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Purepechas scored in 44% of their last 9 games.

Scoring Trends

Purepechas VS Irapuato
0.5 Goals Scored 2.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Purepechas

(Home)
08 Nov
Jaguares De Chiapas
1 : 1
Purepechas
01 Nov
Purepechas
2 : 1
Montaneses
24 Oct
Tapachula
1 : 0
Purepechas
11 Oct
Purepechas
2 : 0
Lobos ULMX
04 Oct
Tigres de Alica
1 : 0
Purepechas
Page 1 of 2

Irapuato

(Away)
07 Nov
Racing de Veracruz
0 : 1
Irapuato
01 Nov
Irapuato
2 : 1
Deportiva Venados
24 Oct
Inter Playa Del Carmen
1 : 4
Irapuato
18 Oct
Irapuato
2 : 0
Zacatepec
11 Oct
Irapuato
1 : 0
Tritones Vallarta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Irapuato 10 10 0 0 23:6 31
2 Tigres de Alica 11 5 3 3 19:12 18
3 Lobos ULMX 10 4 2 4 13:13 15
4 Reboceros de La Piedad 10 5 0 5 15:16 15
5 Zacatepec 10 4 2 4 13:16 15
6 Cordobes FC 10 3 2 5 9:14 10
7 Los Cabos United 10 3 1 6 9:15 10
8 Purepechas 9 2 2 5 6:10 8
9 Tritones Vallarta 9 1 3 5 8:12 6
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 10 6 3 1 24:9 23
2 Pioneros 10 6 2 2 21:10 21
3 Celaya 10 6 2 2 18:10 20
4 Jaguares De Chiapas 10 4 3 3 11:10 16
5 Deportiva Venados 10 3 3 4 19:18 13
6 Chapulineros 10 3 4 3 13:17 13
7 Montaneses 11 4 1 6 15:21 12
8 Inter Playa Del Carmen 10 2 1 7 10:20 7
9 Tapachula 10 2 0 8 11:28 6
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)