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Puteolana Internapoli vs Molfetta Calcio Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Vivacqua F.
40' Event
Guarracino F.
80' Event
Guarracino F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 game between Puteolana Internapoli and Molfetta Calcio finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Puteolana Internapoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Puteolana Internapoli
30%
Draws
35%
Molfetta Calcio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Puteolana Internapoli come out ahead of Molfetta Calcio on wins alone.
  • Puteolana Internapoli are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Puteolana Internapoli Clean Sheet 20%
Molfetta Calcio Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puteolana Internapoli Molfetta Calcio
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 13 8
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.53 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Puteolana Internapoli vs Molfetta Calcio
4:1
Nov 2, 2022 Coppa Italia Serie D
Puteolana Internapoli vs Molfetta Calcio
1:0
Sep 18, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Molfetta Calcio vs Puteolana Internapoli
2:2
Apr 11, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Puteolana Internapoli vs Molfetta Calcio
0:3
Dec 20, 2020 Serie D - Group H
Molfetta Calcio vs Puteolana Internapoli
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Puteolana Internapoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Guarracino F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Trezza L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Molfetta Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Vivacqua F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puteolana Internapoli 36 / 100
Molfetta Calcio 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puteolana Internapoli Molfetta Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Puteolana Internapoli scored in 76% of their last 34 games.

Molfetta Calcio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Puteolana Internapoli went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Puteolana Internapoli VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Puteolana Internapoli

(Home)
03 May
Terracina
1 : 3
Puteolana Internapoli
27 Apr
Puteolana Internapoli
1 : 1
Cassino
17 Apr
Puteolana Internapoli
0 : 4
Guidonia 1937
13 Apr
Anzio Calcio 1924
2 : 2
Puteolana Internapoli
06 Apr
Puteolana Internapoli
0 : 0
A.C. Savoia
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Molfetta Calcio

(Away)
10 Aug
Molfetta Calcio
2 : 1
Barletta
14 May
Gravina
3 : 1
Molfetta Calcio
07 May
Molfetta Calcio
0 : 2
Afragolese
30 Apr
Altamura
2 : 1
Molfetta Calcio
23 Apr
Molfetta Calcio
1 : 0
Nocerina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brindisi 34 20 9 5 59:27 69
2 Cavese 34 20 9 5 66:35 69
3 A.C.D. Nardo 34 18 11 5 51:26 65
4 Barletta 34 17 13 4 42:29 64
5 Casarano 34 13 18 3 46:32 57
6 Altamura 34 15 11 8 51:37 56
7 Matera 34 13 11 10 53:46 50
8 Martina Calcio 34 11 12 11 40:43 45
9 Citta di Fasano 34 11 11 12 43:43 44
10 Bitonto 34 11 10 13 45:51 43
11 Afragolese 34 8 15 11 41:45 39
12 San Felice Gladiator 34 8 13 13 42:55 37
13 Nocerina 34 9 9 16 40:51 36
14 Gravina 34 7 15 12 29:41 36
15 Molfetta Calcio 34 7 11 16 40:50 32
16 Francavilla 34 7 9 18 38:51 30
17 Lavello 34 7 5 22 31:68 26
18 Puteolana Internapoli 34 3 10 21 32:59 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 (Play Out)