Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pyeongtaek Citizen vs Geoje Prediction & H2H Stats

South Korea South Korea

K4 League
Pyeongtaek Citizen Logo

Pyeongtaek Citizen

2 - 3
FT
Geoje Logo

Geoje

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Geoje in this K4 League matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Geoje.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Pyeongtaek Citizen
30%
Draws
41%
Geoje
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Geoje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Geoje have won more games recently than Pyeongtaek Citizen.
  • Win probability leans Pyeongtaek Citizen's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Pyeongtaek Citizen Clean Sheet 10%
Geoje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pyeongtaek Citizen Geoje
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.66 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 K4 League
Pyeongtaek Citizen vs Geoje
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pyeongtaek Citizen 56 / 100
Geoje 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pyeongtaek Citizen Geoje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pyeongtaek Citizen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Pyeongtaek Citizen scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Geoje has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Pyeongtaek Citizen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pyeongtaek Citizen VS Geoje
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pyeongtaek Citizen

(Home)
04 Oct
Pyeongtaek Citizen
7 : 1
Sejong SA
13 Sept
Namyangju
2 : 2
Pyeongtaek Citizen
05 Sept
Geumsan Insam
0 : 0
Pyeongtaek Citizen
29 Aug
Pyeongtaek Citizen
2 : 3
Gijang United
26 Jul
Pyeongtaek Citizen
0 : 2
Jinju Citizen
Page 1 of 6

Geoje

(Away)
03 Oct
Jinju Citizen
0 : 0
Geoje
19 Sept
Jecheon Citizen
0 : 2
Geoje
12 Sept
Seosan Pioneer
0 : 1
Geoje
15 Aug
Geoje
1 : 2
Pocheon
25 Jul
Jincheon
4 : 1
Geoje
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jinju Citizen 21 16 3 2 50:16 51
2 Jincheon 21 12 5 4 42:20 41
3 Namyangju 22 11 6 5 32:27 39
4 Seoul Jungnang 21 10 4 7 38:27 34
5 Geumsan Insam 21 8 8 5 33:25 32
6 Jecheon Citizen 22 8 7 7 29:32 31
7 Geoje 19 8 4 7 33:26 28
8 Pyeongchang United 21 8 3 10 28:32 27
9 Gijang United 21 8 2 11 29:38 26
10 Sejong SA 21 8 2 11 30:47 26
11 Haman 20 6 2 12 23:35 20
12 Pyeongtaek Citizen 21 3 5 13 27:45 14
13 Seosan Pioneer 21 4 1 16 23:47 13
Promotion - K3 League 2027 (Main)
Promotion - K4 League (Promotion - Play Offs)