Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Qarabag Agdam U19 vs Atl. Madrid U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 Azersun Arena, Baku
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Isaac C.
Assist: Clemente O.
18' Event
Deda Y.
Assist: Huseynov A.
37' Event
Clemente O.
Assist: Moya T.

AI Match Summary

Atl. Madrid U19 in this UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atl. Madrid U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Qarabag Agdam U19
6%
Draws
90%
Atl. Madrid U19
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Atl. Madrid U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Atl. Madrid U19 have won more games recently than Qarabag Agdam U19.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Atl. Madrid U19 taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Qarabag Agdam U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Atl. Madrid U19 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qarabag Agdam U19 Atl. Madrid U19
Matches Played 12 32
Wins 1 19
Draws 0 3
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.17 2.25
Goals Conceded 5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.17 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2017 UEFA Youth League
Atl. Madrid U19 vs Qarabag Agdam U19
0:1
Oct 18, 2017 UEFA Youth League
Qarabag Agdam U19 vs Atl. Madrid U19
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Qarabag Agdam U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Deda Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.13
Avg xA / game 0.09

Atl. Madrid U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Isaac C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Clemente O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qarabag Agdam U19 10 / 100
Atl. Madrid U19 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qarabag Agdam U19 Atl. Madrid U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Atl. Madrid U19 let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Attacking prowess: Qarabag Agdam U19 scored in 33% of their last 12 outings.

Difficult form: Atl. Madrid U19 registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Qarabag Agdam U19 VS Atl. Madrid U19
0.17 Goals Scored 2.25
5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
83% Over 2.5 88%
67% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Qarabag Agdam U19

(Home)
10 Dec
Qarabag Agdam U19
0 : 8
Ajax U19
25 Nov
Napoli U19
2 : 0
Qarabag Agdam U19
05 Nov
Qarabag Agdam U19
0 : 5
Chelsea U19
22 Oct
Ath Bilbao U19
3 : 0
Qarabag Agdam U19
01 Oct
Qarabag Agdam U19
0 : 5
FC Copenhagen U19
Page 1 of 3

Atl. Madrid U19

(Away)
17 Mar
Atl. Madrid U19
0 : 4
Club Brugge U19
25 Feb
Atl. Madrid U19
2 : 1
Maccabi Haifa U19
04 Feb
Dynamo Kyiv U19
2 : 6
Atl. Madrid U19
09 Dec
PSV U19
3 : 1
Atl. Madrid U19
26 Nov
Atl. Madrid U19
4 : 1
Inter U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Basel U19632114:1111
2Manchester United U19632111:911
3Benfica U19614110:87
4CSKA Moscow U1961058:153
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bayern U19642014:614
2PSG U19631211:910
3Celtic U19620410:156
4Anderlecht U1961146:114
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chelsea U19650117:715
2Atl. Madrid U19630312:119
3AS Roma U19630311:69
4Qarabag Agdam U1961053:193
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona U19651012:116
2Sporting CP U19623110:69
3Olympiacos Piraeus U1961236:145
4Juventus U1961054:113
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Liverpool U19650118:315
2Spartak Moscow U19622211:88
3Sevilla U1962226:128
4Maribor U1961052:143
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Manchester City U19641114:713
2Feyenoord U19623111:89
3Shakhtar U1962137:127
4Napoli U19611412:174
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Porto U19650115:715
2Monaco U19631215:1010
3RB Leipzig U19612310:125
4Besiktas U1961145:164
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tottenham U19641115:613
2Real Madrid U19631221:1010
3Dortmund U19630314:129
4APOEL U1961052:243
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 (Play Offs)