Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Qarabag Agdam play Shamakhi in the Azerbaijan Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Qarabag Agdam averaged 2.18 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. Shamakhi averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Qarabag Agdam won 2, Shamakhi won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for Qarabag Agdam and 0.93 for Shamakhi. This points to a Qarabag Agdam double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Qarabag Agdam picked up more points recently compared to Shamakhi.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 0.93 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Qarabag Agdam | Shamakhi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 38 | 31 |
| Wins | 20 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.18 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.42 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.71 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Qarabag Agdam Compare
Shamakhi Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Qarabag Agdam scored in 82% of their last 38 games.
Shamakhi let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Qarabag Agdam went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Shamakhi lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics