Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Qatar SC vs Umm-Salal

Qatar Qatar

QSL Cup Qatar SC Stadium, Doha
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Joao Pedro
19' Event
Yan
22' Event
Joao Pedro

AI Match Summary

This match ends 6-1, with Qatar SC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Qatar SC
39%
Draws
31%
Umm-Salal
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Qatar SC haven't matched Umm-Salal's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Umm-Salal arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Qatar SC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Qatar SC Clean Sheet 20%
Umm-Salal Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qatar SC Umm-Salal
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.5 2.38
Goals Conceded 2 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 QSL
Umm-Salal vs Qatar SC
0:0
Dec 6, 2025 QSL Cup
Qatar SC vs Umm-Salal
6:1
Oct 26, 2025 QSL
Qatar SC vs Umm-Salal
2:1
Feb 28, 2025 QSL
Qatar SC vs Umm-Salal
2:2
Sep 27, 2024 QSL
Umm-Salal vs Qatar SC
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Qatar SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Pedro
3 Goals
Assists Leader Yan
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Umm-Salal Compare

Top Goalscorer Baidoo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qatar SC 31 / 100
Umm-Salal 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qatar SC Umm-Salal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qatar SC found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Umm-Salal conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Umm-Salal's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Qatar SC VS Umm-Salal
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Qatar SC

(Home)
27 Apr
Qatar SC
1 : 2
Al-Duhail
13 Apr
Shamal
3 : 0
Qatar SC
08 Apr
Al Arabi (Qatar)
1 : 1
Qatar SC
03 Apr
Qatar SC
1 : 4
Al Wakra
18 Mar
Umm-Salal
0 : 0
Qatar SC
Page 1 of 6

Umm-Salal

(Away)
01 May
Al-Gharafa
2 : 1
Umm-Salal
27 Apr
Umm-Salal
1 : 3
Al Ahli
08 Apr
Al Rayyan
3 : 0
Umm-Salal
04 Apr
Shamal
3 : 2
Umm-Salal
28 Mar
Al Rayyan
4 : 3
Umm-Salal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Rayyan1081132:1725
2Umm-Salal1062226:1720
3Muaither SC1062221:1320
4Al Arabi (Qatar)1061327:1619
5Al-Waab1053216:1118
6Al Markhiya1053213:1218
7Al Sailiya1060416:1718
8Al-Shahaniya1052313:1117
9Shamal1043319:1115
10Al Bidda1043315:1415
11Al Khor1041518:1713
12Al Mesaimeer1034318:1713
13Qatar SC1041523:2313
14Al-Kharitiyath1041519:2013
15Al Ahli1023513:219
16Al-Duhail102354:179
17Lusail1014515:267
18Al Wakra1013617:226
19Al-Gharafa1012712:225
20Al-Sadd1012718:315
Promotion - QSL Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - QSL Cup (Play Offs)