Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Qizilqum vs Metallurg Bekabad

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League 2024 Yoshlar Sport Majmuasi, Navoiy
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Lobjanidze E.
Assist: Rahmatullayev S.
25'
Sub
Ozols R. In: Sayyotov K.
Out: Ozols R.
45'
Pirmukhamedov A.

AI Match Summary

Qizilqum in this Super League 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Qizilqum.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Qizilqum
17%
Draws
70%
Metallurg Bekabad
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Metallurg Bekabad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Metallurg Bekabad average 2.5 goals a game right now, well clear of Qizilqum's 0.75.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Metallurg Bekabad taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Qizilqum Clean Sheet 11%
Metallurg Bekabad Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qizilqum Metallurg Bekabad
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.75 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2024 Super League
Qizilqum vs Metallurg Bekabad
1:0
May 11, 2024 Super League
Metallurg Bekabad vs Qizilqum
0:0
Aug 13, 2023 Super League
Qizilqum vs Metallurg Bekabad
0:2
Mar 19, 2023 Super League
Metallurg Bekabad vs Qizilqum
1:0
Sep 29, 2022 Super League
Qizilqum vs Metallurg Bekabad
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Qizilqum Compare

Top Goalscorer Lobjanidze E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Metallurg Bekabad Compare

Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qizilqum 14 / 100
Metallurg Bekabad 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qizilqum Metallurg Bekabad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MET Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Metallurg Bekabad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Metallurg Bekabad's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Qizilqum found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Qizilqum VS Metallurg Bekabad
0.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Qizilqum

(Home)
28 Jul
Nasaf Qarshi
1 : 0
Qizilqum
23 Jul
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1
Qizilqum
18 Jul
Qizilqum
1 : 2
Din. Samarkand
04 May
Lok. Tashkent
1 : 0
Qizilqum
29 Apr
Qizilqum
0 : 0
Xorazm Urganch
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Metallurg Bekabad

(Away)
23 Jul
Gazalkent
3 : 2
Metallurg Bekabad
08 Jun
Metallurg Bekabad
7 : 0
FarDU
04 Jun
Shortan Guzor
1 : 0
Metallurg Bekabad
31 May
Metallurg Bekabad
1 : 1
Kattaqurgon
05 May
Jayxun
2 : 0
Metallurg Bekabad
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nasaf Qarshi26157435:1852
2OKMK26145740:2947
3Navbahor Namangan261110542:3143
4Sogdiana26127741:2943
5Neftchi Fargona261110532:2443
6Pakhtakor261151042:3738
7Termez Surkhon261061030:3136
8Din. Samarkand26951235:3832
9Andijan26612836:3630
10Bunyodkor26791027:3830
11Qizilqum26691125:3427
12Olympic26671322:3825
13Metallurg Bekabad26314922:3023
14Lok. Tashkent26561528:4421
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - Super League 2024 (Relegation)