Sport Picks

Scotland

League One 2025/2026 Palmerston Park

East Fife

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Queen of the South play East Fife in the League One 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Queen of the South averaged 1.71 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. East Fife averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. In past meetings, Queen of the South won 2, East Fife won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 21, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Queen of the South and 1.00 for East Fife. This points to a Queen of the South double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Queen of the South

23%

Draws

30%

East Fife

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Queen of the South

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Queen of the South picked up more points recently compared to East Fife.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Queen of the South Clean Sheet 23%

East Fife Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Queen of the South	East Fife
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	10	7
Draws	10	5
Losses	11	18
Goals Scored	1.71	0.83
Goals Conceded	1.48	1.77
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 League One

Queen of the South vs East Fife

Possession: 42% - 51% Cards: 3 - 1

2:2

Jan 24, 2026 League One

East Fife vs Queen of the South

Possession: 41% - 45% Cards: 0 - 3

1:5

Nov 8, 2025 League One

Queen of the South vs East Fife

Possession: 50% - 43% Cards: 0 - 1

3:0

Sep 13, 2025 League One

East Fife vs Queen of the South

Possession: 48% - 47% Cards: 0 - 4

2:1

Jul 25, 2023 League Cup

Queen of the South vs East Fife

Possession: 52% - 59% Cards: 3 - 4

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Queen of the South Compare

Top Goalscorer Lyon R.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

East Fife Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaffney M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Culbert S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queen of the South 47 / 100

East Fife 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Queen of the South East Fife

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Queen of the South or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20.3%

2.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Queen of the South attacking → ← attacking East Fife

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Queen of the South scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

East Fife let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Queen of the South went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

East Fife lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 26

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Inverness	36	21	11	4	60:24	69
2	Stenhousemuir	36	18	13	5	50:27	67
3	Queen of the South	36	14	12	10	58:47	54
4	Alloa	36	15	8	13	50:38	53
5	Peterhead	36	12	7	17	48:64	43
6	Montrose	36	11	9	16	48:67	42
7	Cove Rangers	36	9	11	16	41:44	38
8	East Fife	36	9	9	18	34:61	36
9	Hamilton	36	16	7	13	54:42	34
10	Kelty Hearts	36	6	11	19	33:62	29