Sport Picks
Queen of the South vs Motherwell B
Scotland
Challenge Cup 2025/2026 Palmerston Park, Dumfries 
Match Events
49'
49'
Watson B.
60'
60'
Smith L.
67'
67'
Lyon R.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-1, with Queen of the South advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Queen of the South
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Queen of the South come out ahead of Motherwell B on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Queen of the South's way, sitting at 90%.
- Queen of the South have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Queen of the South, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Queen of the South Clean Sheet 68%
Motherwell B Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Queen of the South | Motherwell B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 11 |
| Wins | 10 | 0 |
| Draws | 9 | 1 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 0 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 11, 2025 Challenge Cup
Queen of the South vs Motherwell B
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Queen of the South Compare
Top Goalscorer Smith L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lyon R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Motherwell B Compare
Top Goalscorer Watson B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Queen of the South 95 / 100
Motherwell B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Queen of the South Motherwell B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick QUE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Queen of the South found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).
Motherwell B has conceded goals in 90% of their last 10 outings.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Motherwell B has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Queen of the South VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Queen of the South
(Home) 25 Jul
Queen's Park
3 : 1 Queen of the South
22 Jul
Queen of the South
1 : 4 Aberdeen
18 Jul
Brora Rangers
0 : 3 Queen of the South
11 Jul
Queen of the South
1 : 2 Kelty Hearts
04 Jul
Queen of the South
1 : 2 Crusaders
Page 1 of 6
22 Jul
Queen of the South
1 : 4 Aberdeen
11 Jul
Queen of the South
1 : 2 Kelty Hearts
04 Jul
Queen of the South
1 : 2 Crusaders
27 Jun
Queen of the South
0 : 1 Connahs Q.
05 May
Queen of the South
1 : 1 Stenhousemuir
Page 1 of 4
Motherwell B
(Away) 11 Nov
Queen of the South
3 : 1 Motherwell B
11 Oct
Stenhousemuir
4 : 0 Motherwell B
23 Sept
Stranraer
3 : 0 Motherwell B
06 Sept
Clyde
4 : 0 Motherwell B
26 Aug
East Kilbride
3 : 1 Motherwell B
Page 1 of 3
11 Nov
Queen of the South
3 : 1 Motherwell B
11 Oct
Stenhousemuir
4 : 0 Motherwell B
23 Sept
Stranraer
3 : 0 Motherwell B
06 Sept
Clyde
4 : 0 Motherwell B
26 Aug
East Kilbride
3 : 1 Motherwell B
Page 1 of 2
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inverness | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 26:4 | 18 |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18:2 | 18 |
| 3 | Montrose | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18:9 | 16 |
| 4 | East Fife | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17:9 | 13 |
| 5 | Stranraer | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 6 | East Kilbride | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Forfar Athletic | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 8 | Edinburgh City | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:10 | 12 |
| 9 | Spartans | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | 11 |
| 10 | Elgin City | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:9 | 11 |
| 11 | Dumbarton | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 12 | Annan | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15:10 | 10 |
| 13 | Alloa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:14 | 10 |
| 14 | Kelty Hearts | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 15 | Clyde | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:12 | 10 |
| 16 | Queen of the South | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:10 | 10 |
| 17 | Hamilton | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 9 |
| 18 | Stirling | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 9 |
| 19 | Cove Rangers | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 20 | Peterhead | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 21 | Celtic B | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:15 | 6 |
| 22 | Hearts B | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:14 | 6 |
| 23 | Hibernian B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11:14 | 5 |
| 24 | St. Mirren B | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | 4 |
| 25 | Dundee Utd B | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:18 | 3 |
| 26 | Aberdeen B | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9:20 | 1 |
| 27 | Motherwell B | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:17 | 1 |
| 28 | Rangers B | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6:16 | 0 |
| 29 | Kilmarnock B | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3:19 | 0 |
| 30 | Dundee FC B | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:21 | 0 |
Promotion - Challenge Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
