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Queensland Lions U23 vs Gold Coast Knights SC U23

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland U23
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AI Match Summary

The NPL Queensland U23 game between Queensland Lions U23 and Gold Coast Knights SC U23 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Queensland Lions U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Queensland Lions U23
40%
Draws
29%
Gold Coast Knights SC U23
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Queensland Lions U23 haven't matched Gold Coast Knights SC U23's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular NPL Queensland U23 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Queensland Lions U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Gold Coast Knights SC U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queensland Lions U23 Gold Coast Knights SC U23
Matches Played 19 18
Wins 11 12
Draws 5 1
Losses 3 5
Goals Scored 2.63 3.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
Gold Coast Knights SC U23 vs Queensland Lions U23
1:0
Feb 28, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
Queensland Lions U23 vs Gold Coast Knights SC U23
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queensland Lions U23 30 / 100
Gold Coast Knights SC U23 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queensland Lions U23 Gold Coast Knights SC U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Queensland Lions U23 found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (19 games).

Gold Coast Knights SC U23 let in goals in 78% of their last 18 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Queensland Lions U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Queensland Lions U23 VS Gold Coast Knights SC U23
2.63 Goals Scored 3.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Queensland Lions U23

(Home)
18 Jul
Gold Coast U23
1 : 0
Queensland Lions U23
12 Jul
Queensland Lions U23
1 : 1
Eastern Suburbs U23
04 Jul
Queensland Lions U23
1 : 2
Olympic FC U23
28 Jun
Queensland Lions U23
4 : 0
Wynnum Wolves U23
21 Jun
Queensland Lions U23
4 : 1
Rochedale U23
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Gold Coast Knights SC U23

(Away)
18 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC U23
2 : 1
Wynnum Wolves U23
12 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC U23
3 : 1
Brisbane City U23
04 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC U23
1 : 2
Moreton City Excelsior U23
28 Jun
Rochedale U23
1 : 3
Gold Coast Knights SC U23
20 Jun
Gold Coast Knights SC U23
3 : 1
Magic United TFA FC U23
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rochedale U2319132451:2441
2Moreton City Excelsior U2319122552:2438
3Queensland Lions U2319115345:2038
4Gold Coast Knights SC U2318121547:2937
5Eastern Suburbs U231993738:2430
6Gold Coast U231892742:4029
7Olympic FC U2319721032:4223
8QLD State Team U1719711138:4822
9Peninsula U2319621134:4620
10Wynnum Wolves U2319621127:4320
11Brisbane City U2319531135:5218
12Magic United TFA FC U2319311514:6310
Promotion - NPL Queensland U23 (Play Offs)