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Queretaro vs Club America

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX 2025/2026 Estadio La Corregidora, Querétaro
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Garcia C.
21' Event
Rodriguez B.
Assist: Zendejas A.
45' Event
Avila A.
Assist: Julio J.

AI Match Summary

Club America in this Liga MX 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Club America.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Queretaro
39%
Draws
31%
Club America
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Club America have won more games recently than Queretaro.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga MX 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Club America have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Queretaro Clean Sheet 68%
Club America Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queretaro Club America
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 11 14
Draws 11 10
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Liga MX
Queretaro vs Club America
0:1
Mar 7, 2026 Liga MX
Queretaro vs Club America
1:2
Aug 10, 2025 Liga MX
Club America vs Queretaro
1:0
Jan 11, 2025 Liga MX
Queretaro vs Club America
0:1
Jul 13, 2024 Liga MX
Club America vs Queretaro
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Queretaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Avila A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Club America Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salas P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queretaro 41 / 100
Club America 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queretaro Club America

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Queretaro scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Club America let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Queretaro has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Queretaro VS Club America
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Queretaro

(Home)
19 Jul
Queretaro
0 : 1
Club America
03 Jul
Austin FC
0 : 1
Queretaro
26 Jun
Queretaro
2 : 2
Atletico San Luis
20 Jun
Reboceros de La Piedad
0 : 2
Queretaro
25 Apr
Puebla
1 : 2
Queretaro
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Club America

(Away)
19 Jul
Queretaro
0 : 1
Club America
12 Jul
Los Angeles Galaxy
1 : 0
Club America
05 Jul
Jaiba Brava
0 : 2
Club America
11 May
UNAM Pumas
3 : 3
Club America
03 May
Club America
3 : 3
UNAM Pumas
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UNAM Pumas17106134:1736
2Guadalajara Chivas17113333:1736
3Cruz Azul1796231:1833
4Pachuca1794425:1931
5Toluca1786328:1630
6Atlas1775516:1826
7Tigres UANL1774628:1825
8Club America1774620:1725
9Club Tijuana1758419:1723
10Club Leon1771922:3222
11Queretaro1748517:2120
12Juarez1754826:3219
13Monterrey1753922:2418
14Atletico San Luis1753924:2718
15Necaxa1753919:2518
16Mazatlan FC17431022:3715
17Puebla17341013:2613
18Santos Laguna17331120:3812
Promotion - Liga MX 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)