Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Queretaro vs Cruz Azul

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX 2025/2026 Estadio La Corregidora, Querétaro
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Piovi G.
9' Event
Marquez J.
Assist: Ditta W.
24'
Parra D.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX 2025/2026 game between Queretaro and Cruz Azul finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Queretaro
15%
Draws
48%
Cruz Azul
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cruz Azul

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Cruz Azul carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Queretaro are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Liga MX 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Queretaro Clean Sheet 16%
Cruz Azul Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queretaro Cruz Azul
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 14
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.11 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Liga MX
Queretaro vs Cruz Azul
1:1
Sep 25, 2025 Liga MX
Cruz Azul vs Queretaro
2:2
Feb 24, 2025 Liga MX
Cruz Azul vs Queretaro
1:0
Aug 24, 2024 Liga MX
Queretaro vs Cruz Azul
0:2
Feb 3, 2024 Liga MX
Queretaro vs Cruz Azul
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Queretaro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Cruz Azul Compare

Top Goalscorer Marquez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queretaro 41 / 100
Cruz Azul 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queretaro Cruz Azul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cruz Azul conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Queretaro scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Queretaro has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Queretaro VS Cruz Azul
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Queretaro

(Home)
12 Sept
Club Tijuana
0 : 1
Queretaro
29 Aug
Atlas
1 : 3
Queretaro
22 Aug
Queretaro
1 : 2
Toluca
16 Aug
UNAM Pumas
0 : 0
Queretaro
13 Aug
Los Angeles FC
2 : 1
Queretaro
Page 1 of 6

Cruz Azul

(Away)
17 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 0
Cruz Azul
13 Sept
Cruz Azul
4 : 3
Club America
06 Sept
Cruz Azul
1 : 0
Santos Laguna
29 Aug
Necaxa
1 : 3
Cruz Azul
23 Aug
Cruz Azul
0 : 2
Atlas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UNAM Pumas 17 10 6 1 34:17 36
2 Guadalajara Chivas 17 11 3 3 33:17 36
3 Cruz Azul 17 9 6 2 31:18 33
4 Pachuca 17 9 4 4 25:19 31
5 Toluca 17 8 6 3 28:16 30
6 Atlas 17 7 5 5 16:18 26
7 Tigres UANL 17 7 4 6 28:18 25
8 Club America 17 7 4 6 20:17 25
9 Club Tijuana 17 5 8 4 19:17 23
10 Club Leon 17 7 1 9 22:32 22
11 Queretaro 17 4 8 5 17:21 20
12 Juarez 17 5 4 8 26:32 19
13 Monterrey 17 5 3 9 22:24 18
14 Atletico San Luis 17 5 3 9 24:27 18
15 Necaxa 17 5 3 9 19:25 18
16 Mazatlan FC 17 4 3 10 22:37 15
17 Puebla 17 3 4 10 13:26 13
18 Santos Laguna 17 3 3 11 20:38 12
Promotion - Liga MX 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)