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Queretaro W vs Cruz Azul W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio La Corregidora
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Martinez A.
20'
Robe L.
23'
Rodriguez Perez Y.

AI Match Summary

Cruz Azul W in this Liga MX Women matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cruz Azul W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Queretaro W
6%
Draws
90%
Cruz Azul W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cruz Azul W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Queretaro W haven't matched Cruz Azul W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Cruz Azul W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Queretaro W Clean Sheet 10%
Cruz Azul W Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Queretaro W Cruz Azul W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 15
Draws 5 9
Losses 21 8
Goals Scored 0.63 2.88
Goals Conceded 2.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs Queretaro W
3:1
Oct 17, 2025 Liga MX Women
Queretaro W vs Cruz Azul W
1:4
Mar 28, 2025 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs Queretaro W
0:0
Oct 31, 2024 Liga MX Women
Queretaro W vs Cruz Azul W
1:3
Mar 4, 2024 Liga MX Women
Queretaro W vs Cruz Azul W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Queretaro W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cecena S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Cruz Azul W Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chavarin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Queretaro W 10 / 100
Cruz Azul W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Queretaro W Cruz Azul W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Cruz Azul W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

Queretaro W's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Queretaro W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Queretaro W VS Cruz Azul W
0.63 Goals Scored 2.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tigres UANL W17133160:1142
2Pachuca W17133160:2042
3Club America W17122356:2238
4Toluca W17105235:1735
5Guadalajara Chivas W17103429:1733
6Monterrey W17102538:2432
7Cruz Azul W1784542:2728
8Juarez W1776424:1727
9Club Leon W1783632:3327
10Atletico San Luis W1774624:2725
11UNAM Pumas W1772835:3223
12Atlas W1764728:3322
13Club Tijuana W17431019:3315
14Queretaro W17341017:5013
15Santos Laguna W17331119:4012
16Necaxa W1722139:408
17Puebla W1713138:436
18Mazatlan FC W1702159:582