Sport Picks
Match Events
32'
32'
Bindella A.
44'
44'
Orlando J.
46'
46'
Sub
De La Vega F. In: Martinez E.
Out: De La Vega F.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
20%
50%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Almagro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Quilmes at 0.97 per game, Almagro at 0.9.
- 50% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Quilmes Clean Sheet 25%
Almagro Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Quilmes | Almagro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Almagro
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Quilmes
1:0
Aug 31, 2025 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Quilmes
2:2
Apr 26, 2025 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Almagro
0:1
Sep 23, 2022 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Almagro
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Quilmes Compare
Top Goalscorer Spetale A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Almagro Compare
Top Goalscorer Orlando J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Quilmes 37 / 100
Almagro 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Quilmes Almagro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Almagro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Almagro has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Attacking prowess: Quilmes scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.
Quilmes went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Quilmes VS Almagro
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Quilmes
(Home) 20 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
3 : 0 Quilmes
12 Sept
Quilmes
1 : 0 San Martin S.J.
07 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 0 Quilmes
30 Aug
Quilmes
0 : 1 Temperley
23 Aug
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 0 Quilmes
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Quilmes
1 : 0 San Martin S.J.
30 Aug
Quilmes
0 : 1 Temperley
15 Aug
Quilmes
3 : 0 San Telmo
09 Aug
Quilmes
1 : 1 Almagro
05 Aug
Quilmes
2 : 0 Gimnasia Jujuy
Page 1 of 3
Almagro
(Away) 19 Sept
Temperley
3 : 1 Almagro
12 Sept
Almagro
2 : 2 Deportivo Maipu
06 Sept
Almagro
1 : 2 Gimnasia Jujuy
30 Aug
Patronato
0 : 1 Almagro
22 Aug
Almagro
0 : 0 Colegiales
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Temperley
3 : 1 Almagro
30 Aug
Patronato
0 : 1 Almagro
15 Aug
Deportivo Moron
2 : 0 Almagro
09 Aug
Quilmes
1 : 1 Almagro
27 Jul
Atletico Atlanta
1 : 3 Almagro
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 35:25 | 58 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 48:29 | 55 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 38:26 | 52 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 44:28 | 49 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 38:25 | 48 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 23:17 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 27:25 | 42 |
| 8 | Ciudad Bolivar | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 24:27 | 39 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 22:20 | 37 |
| 10 | Chaco For Ever | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 27:29 | 36 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 23:26 | 36 |
| 12 | Racing Cordoba | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26:36 | 35 |
| 13 | All Boys | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 17:26 | 32 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 27:37 | 32 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 19:28 | 31 |
| 16 | San Miguel | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 24:34 | 31 |
| 17 | San Telmo | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 23:34 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 21:34 | 26 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 31:15 | 54 |
| 2 | Temperley | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 36:24 | 53 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 45:36 | 53 |
| 4 | Atletico Atlanta | 30 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 34:28 | 49 |
| 5 | Midland | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 34:25 | 47 |
| 6 | San Martin S.J. | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 33:27 | 45 |
| 7 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 31:27 | 45 |
| 8 | Atl. Rafaela | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 25:26 | 42 |
| 9 | Deportivo Maipu | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 37:31 | 41 |
| 10 | Colegiales | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 29:30 | 40 |
| 11 | San Martin T. | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 32:30 | 39 |
| 12 | Agropecuario | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 26:34 | 36 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 28:27 | 35 |
| 14 | Almagro | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26:36 | 35 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 22:29 | 33 |
| 16 | Patronato | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 24:31 | 31 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 22:31 | 30 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 23:51 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
