Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Quilmes vs Colegiales

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes, Quilmes
Quilmes Logo

Quilmes

0 - 1
FT
Colegiales Logo

Colegiales

Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Ortiz L.
13'
Spetale A.
45'
Kippes A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Colegiales in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Colegiales.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Quilmes
15%
Draws
64%
Colegiales
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colegiales

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Colegiales lately — more wins on the board than Quilmes.
  • Colegiales are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Colegiales have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Quilmes Clean Sheet 22%
Colegiales Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quilmes Colegiales
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.97 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Colegiales
0:1
Jun 20, 2026 Primera Nacional
Colegiales vs Quilmes
3:1
Jul 26, 2025 Primera Nacional
Colegiales vs Quilmes
1:0
Mar 27, 2025 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Colegiales
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Quilmes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Colegiales Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortiz L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quilmes 24 / 100
Colegiales 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quilmes Colegiales

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colegiales Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Quilmes scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Colegiales has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Quilmes has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Quilmes VS Colegiales
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Quilmes

(Home)
20 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
3 : 0
Quilmes
12 Sept
Quilmes
1 : 0
San Martin S.J.
07 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 0
Quilmes
30 Aug
Quilmes
0 : 1
Temperley
23 Aug
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 0
Quilmes
Page 1 of 6

Colegiales

(Away)
20 Sept
San Martin S.J.
2 : 0
Colegiales
12 Sept
Colegiales
1 : 0
Nueva Chicago
06 Sept
Temperley
3 : 1
Colegiales
02 Sept
Colegiales
3 : 0
Midland
29 Aug
Colegiales
1 : 0
Deportivo Maipu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 30 17 7 6 35:25 58
2 Deportivo Moron 30 16 7 7 48:29 55
3 Godoy Cruz 30 15 7 8 38:26 52
4 Deportivo Madryn 30 13 10 7 44:28 49
5 Colon Santa Fe 30 13 9 8 38:25 48
6 Almirante Brown 30 12 10 8 23:17 46
7 CA Estudiantes 30 11 9 10 27:25 42
8 Ciudad Bolivar 30 9 12 9 24:27 39
9 Los Andes 30 8 13 9 22:20 37
10 Chaco For Ever 30 9 9 12 27:29 36
11 Defensores de Belgrano 30 8 12 10 23:26 36
12 Racing Cordoba 30 9 8 13 26:36 35
13 All Boys 30 6 14 10 17:26 32
14 CA Mitre 30 6 14 10 27:37 32
15 Central Norte 30 6 13 11 19:28 31
16 San Miguel 30 6 13 11 24:34 31
17 San Telmo 30 7 10 13 23:34 31
18 Acassuso 30 6 8 16 21:34 26
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 30 14 12 4 31:15 54
2 Temperley 30 14 11 5 36:24 53
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 30 15 8 7 45:36 53
4 Atletico Atlanta 30 15 4 11 34:28 49
5 Midland 30 13 8 9 34:25 47
6 San Martin S.J. 30 12 9 9 33:27 45
7 Gimnasia y Tiro 30 12 9 9 31:27 45
8 Atl. Rafaela 30 11 9 10 25:26 42
9 Deportivo Maipu 30 11 8 11 37:31 41
10 Colegiales 30 11 7 12 29:30 40
11 San Martin T. 30 9 12 9 32:30 39
12 Agropecuario 30 9 9 12 26:34 36
13 Quilmes 30 9 8 13 28:27 35
14 Almagro 30 9 8 13 26:36 35
15 Nueva Chicago 30 8 9 13 22:29 33
16 Patronato 30 5 16 9 24:31 31
17 Chacarita Juniors 30 8 6 16 22:31 30
18 Club Atletico Guemes 30 5 8 17 23:51 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)