Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Quindio vs Tigres Futbol Club

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Centenario
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Quindio play Tigres Futbol Club in the Primera B. Quindio are favorites here. Recently, Quindio averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. Tigres Futbol Club averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Quindio won 4, Tigres Futbol Club won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Quindio and 0.88 for Tigres Futbol Club. This points to a Quindio double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Quindio
20%
Draws
24%
Tigres Futbol Club
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Quindio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Quindio picked up more points recently compared to Tigres Futbol Club.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Quindio Clean Sheet 25%
Tigres Futbol Club Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 50%
Second Half Goal 52%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Quindio Tigres Futbol Club
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 8 9
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.4 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Primera B
Tigres Futbol Club vs Quindio
0:1
May 5, 2026 Primera B
Quindio vs Tigres Futbol Club
1:0
Apr 18, 2026 Primera B
Tigres Futbol Club vs Quindio
0:1
Oct 17, 2025 Primera B
Quindio vs Tigres Futbol Club
2:1
May 3, 2025 Primera B
Tigres Futbol Club vs Quindio
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Quindio Compare

Top Goalscorer Carabali R. A. F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Tigres Futbol Club Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Quindio 55 / 100
Tigres Futbol Club 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Quindio Tigres Futbol Club

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Quindio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Quindio & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.5%
2.08
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Quindio attacking → ← attacking Tigres Futbol Club

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Quindio scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Tigres Futbol Club let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Quindio went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tigres Futbol Club lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

59 Points in last 5 30
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Envigado63216:311
2Quindio63124:310
3Inter Palmira61413:37
4Tigres Futbol Club61144:84
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cartagena64118:613
2Union Magdalena62318:49
3Barranquilla61325:66
4Bogota60333:83