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Qviding vs Onsala

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Qviding play Onsala in the Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Qviding averaged 2.07 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Onsala averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. In past meetings, Qviding won 1, Onsala won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 22, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Qviding and 1.69 for Onsala. This points to a Qviding double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Qviding
15%
Draws
42%
Onsala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Qviding

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Qviding picked up more points recently compared to Onsala.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74%
Qviding Clean Sheet 13%
Onsala Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Qviding Onsala
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 2.07 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Qviding vs Onsala
1:2
Oct 5, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Qviding vs Onsala
3:1
Jun 14, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Onsala vs Qviding
3:2
Aug 20, 2023 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Qviding vs Onsala
0:2
Apr 21, 2023 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Onsala vs Qviding
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Qviding Compare

Top Goalscorer Eriksson M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ahlgren N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Onsala Compare

Top Goalscorer Nygaard A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Qviding 41 / 100
Onsala 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Qviding Onsala

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Qviding or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.4%
1.39
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Qviding attacking → ← attacking Onsala

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qviding scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Onsala let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Qviding went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Onsala lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 36
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Laholms26193469:3360
2Tvaaker26176370:2457
3Astorps26136743:3245
4Onsala26135864:4144
5Frolunda261331050:5042
6Lindome261321163:5441
7Qviding261151057:4838
8Jonsereds26108848:4838
9BK Astrio261061055:4436
10Landvetter261031347:5533
11Hestrafors26681240:4826
12Boljan26651533:5923
13Varbergs GIF26711829:5822
14Bergdalens IK26232125:999