Sport Picks

Russia

FNL 2025/2026 Volgograd Arena, Volgograd

R. Volgograd

2 - 0

Rodina Moscow

Our Tip

Match Events

37'

Pokidyshev N.

42'

Danilkin E.

46'

Sub

Maksimenko A. In: Abdusalamov M.

Out: Maksimenko A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2025/2026 game between R. Volgograd and Rodina Moscow finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward R. Volgograd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

R. Volgograd

39%

Draws

30%

Rodina Moscow

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and R. Volgograd come out ahead of Rodina Moscow on wins alone.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular FNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%

R. Volgograd Clean Sheet 24%

Rodina Moscow Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	R. Volgograd	Rodina Moscow
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	13	12
Draws	6	9
Losses	9	7
Goals Scored	1.25	1.25
Goals Conceded	0.63	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 FNL

R. Volgograd vs Rodina Moscow

2:0

Oct 26, 2025 FNL

Rodina Moscow vs R. Volgograd

0:0

Mar 30, 2025 FNL

R. Volgograd vs Rodina Moscow

0:1

Aug 26, 2024 FNL

Rodina Moscow vs R. Volgograd

2:2

Feb 23, 2020 FNL Cup

R. Volgograd vs Rodina Moscow

6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

R. Volgograd Compare

Top Goalscorer Aliev S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Davidyan D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Rodina Moscow Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

R. Volgograd 33 / 100

Rodina Moscow 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

R. Volgograd Rodina Moscow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROD Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

R. Volgograd's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Rodina Moscow let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

R. Volgograd went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

R. Volgograd VS Rodina Moscow

1.25 Goals Scored 1.25

0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13

50% Over 1.5 63%

25% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

R. Volgograd

(Home)

20 Jul

R. Volgograd

1 : 0

SKA Khabarovsk

12 Jul

Pari Nizhny Novgorod

4 : 2

R. Volgograd

06 Jul

R. Volgograd

1 : 3

Akron Togliatti

28 Jun

R. Volgograd

1 : 0

Ufa

23 May

Akron Togliatti

0 : 1

R. Volgograd

Page 1 of 6

Rodina Moscow

(Away)

02 Jul

Rodina Moscow

0 : 5

Akron Togliatti

27 Jun

Lokomotiv Moscow

0 : 0

Rodina Moscow

16 May

Arsenal Tula

1 : 4

Rodina Moscow

08 May

Rodina Moscow

2 : 0

Chelyabinsk

02 May

Chernomorets Novorossijsk

1 : 3

Rodina Moscow

Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rodina Moscow	34	19	11	4	58:28	68
2	Fakel Voronezh	34	20	8	6	44:22	68
3	Ural	34	18	7	9	51:31	61
4	R. Volgograd	34	15	11	8	47:26	56
5	Kamaz	34	12	13	9	46:34	49
6	Yenisey	34	13	10	11	37:35	49
7	S. Kostroma	34	12	13	9	46:41	49
8	Shinnik Yaroslavl	34	11	15	8	34:28	48
9	Torpedo Moscow	34	12	10	12	37:39	46
10	Chelyabinsk	34	10	14	10	42:40	44
11	Neftekhimik	34	10	13	11	40:41	43
12	SKA Khabarovsk	34	10	12	12	37:45	42
13	Arsenal Tula	34	8	15	11	42:44	39
14	Ulyanovsk	34	9	10	15	35:48	37
15	Ufa	34	9	10	15	32:40	37
16	Chernomorets Novorossijsk	34	9	8	17	37:49	35
17	Saratov	34	5	11	18	16:44	26
18	FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye	34	5	7	22	30:76	22

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