Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Raadsan vs Badbaado

Somalia Somalia

National league
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The National league game between Raadsan and Badbaado finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Raadsan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Raadsan
15%
Draws
51%
Badbaado
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Badbaado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Raadsan haven't matched Badbaado's recent run of results.
  • Badbaado are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Raadsan Clean Sheet 10%
Badbaado Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Raadsan Badbaado
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.83 1.93
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 National league
Badbaado vs Raadsan
4:2
May 21, 2026 National league
Raadsan vs Badbaado
2:1
May 23, 2025 National league
Raadsan vs Badbaado
1:1
Feb 8, 2025 National league
Badbaado vs Raadsan
3:2
Jun 7, 2024 National league
Raadsan vs Badbaado
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Raadsan 10 / 100
Badbaado 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Raadsan Badbaado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Badbaado Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Badbaado let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Raadsan found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Badbaado lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Raadsan VS Badbaado
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
3 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Raadsan

(Home)
11 Aug
Raadsan
2 : 6
Elman
07 Aug
Badbaado
4 : 2
Raadsan
20 Jul
Jeenyo
0 : 0
Raadsan
16 Jul
Raadsan
8 : 2
Jubba
12 Jul
Raadsan
0 : 4
Heegan
Page 1 of 6

Badbaado

(Away)
11 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Badbaado
07 Aug
Badbaado
4 : 2
Raadsan
20 Jul
Jubba
2 : 7
Badbaado
17 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 3
Dekedda
13 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 2
Mogadishu City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)