Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rabotnicki vs Pelister

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Muharem S.
9' Event
Bulatovic L.
26' Event
Demiri B.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 1. MFL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Rabotnicki
15%
Draws
53%
Pelister
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pelister

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Rabotnicki have won more games recently than Pelister.
  • Pelister are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 1. MFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Rabotnicki Clean Sheet 29%
Pelister Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rabotnicki Pelister
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 2 8
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.57 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 2. MFL
Pelister vs Rabotnicki
2:0
May 2, 2026 1. MFL
Rabotnicki vs Pelister
3:3
Feb 12, 2026 1. MFL
Pelister vs Rabotnicki
4:1
Sep 18, 2025 1. MFL
Rabotnicki vs Pelister
3:0
Apr 19, 2025 1. MFL
Rabotnicki vs Pelister
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rabotnicki Compare

Top Goalscorer Muharem S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hodja D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Pelister Compare

Top Goalscorer Bulatovic L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Petkovski P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rabotnicki 10 / 100
Pelister 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rabotnicki Pelister

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pelister Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Rabotnicki scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Rabotnicki went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Pelister conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Rabotnicki VS Pelister
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rabotnicki

(Home)
19 Sept
Makedonija GP
0 : 1
Rabotnicki
06 Sept
Pelister
2 : 0
Rabotnicki
29 Aug
Rabotnicki
1 : 0
Gorno Lisice
15 Aug
Rabotnicki
3 : 0
Kozuf Gevgelija
09 Aug
Belasica Strumica
1 : 0
Rabotnicki
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Pelister

(Away)
19 Sept
Pelister
1 : 0
Ohrid
13 Sept
Shkupi
0 : 4
Pelister
06 Sept
Pelister
2 : 0
Rabotnicki
02 Sept
Studenicani
1 : 6
Pelister
29 Aug
Makedonija GP
0 : 1
Pelister
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vardar 33 26 5 2 80:21 83
2 Shkendija Tetovo 33 23 5 5 67:30 74
3 Struga 33 19 5 9 68:28 62
4 Sileks 33 16 5 12 59:36 53
5 Tikves 33 14 6 13 59:47 48
6 Arsimi 33 13 7 13 50:53 46
7 Bashkimi 33 11 9 13 40:54 42
8 Pelister 33 10 10 13 41:42 40
9 Brera Strumica 33 10 10 13 46:56 40
10 Makedonija GP 33 9 7 17 42:57 34
11 Rabotnicki 33 9 6 18 45:58 33
12 Shkupi 33 0 1 32 15:130 1
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL (Main)