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Racing Club Ferrol vs Ponferradina

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Ferrer P.
57' Event
Dacosta R.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Racing Club Ferrol and Ponferradina finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Racing Club Ferrol
33%
Draws
27%
Ponferradina
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Racing Club Ferrol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Ponferradina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Racing Club Ferrol taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Racing Club Ferrol Clean Sheet 68%
Ponferradina Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing Club Ferrol Ponferradina
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 0.86 1
Goals Conceded 1.57 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.86 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.57 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ponferradina vs Racing Club Ferrol
3:0
Sep 14, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Racing Club Ferrol vs Ponferradina
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Racing Club Ferrol vs Ponferradina
1:1
Jul 26, 2023 Club Friendly
Ponferradina vs Racing Club Ferrol
0:2
Jul 24, 2022 Club Friendly
Ponferradina vs Racing Club Ferrol
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Racing Club Ferrol Compare

Top Goalscorer Dacosta R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.66
Avg xA / game 0.43

Ponferradina Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrer P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing Club Ferrol 50 / 100
Ponferradina 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing Club Ferrol Ponferradina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Racing Club Ferrol scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Racing Club Ferrol has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ponferradina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 43% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Racing Club Ferrol VS Ponferradina
0.86 Goals Scored 1
1.57 Goals Conceded 1
57% Over 1.5 50%
43% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing Club Ferrol

(Home)
23 May
Unionistas de Salamanca
3 : 2
Racing Club Ferrol
17 May
Racing Club Ferrol
0 : 0
Osasuna B
08 May
Arenas Getxo
1 : 1
Racing Club Ferrol
02 May
Racing Club Ferrol
0 : 0
Pontevedra
26 Apr
Racing Club Ferrol
2 : 2
Real Aviles
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Ponferradina

(Away)
20 Jun
Celta Vigo B
4 : 1
Ponferradina
13 Jun
Ponferradina
0 : 0
Celta Vigo B
06 Jun
Atl. Madrid B
0 : 1
Ponferradina
30 May
Ponferradina
0 : 0
Atl. Madrid B
23 May
Ponferradina
1 : 0
Ath Bilbao B
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