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Racing de Veracruz vs Tritones Vallarta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Primera Premier
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Racing de Veracruz host Tritones Vallarta in the Primera Premier. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Tritones Vallarta have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Racing de Veracruz have conceded 0.62 and scored 2.24. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.88 - 0.94) back Racing de Veracruz to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Racing de Veracruz
20%
Draws
23%
Tritones Vallarta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Racing de Veracruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Racing de Veracruz come out ahead of Tritones Vallarta on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Racing de Veracruz's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Racing de Veracruz Clean Sheet 20%
Tritones Vallarta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Racing de Veracruz Tritones Vallarta
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 20 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 2 12
Goals Scored 2.24 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.62 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Racing de Veracruz 76 / 100
Tritones Vallarta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Racing de Veracruz Tritones Vallarta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Racing de Veracruz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Racing de Veracruz found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Tritones Vallarta conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Racing de Veracruz has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tritones Vallarta's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Racing de Veracruz VS Tritones Vallarta
2.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Racing de Veracruz

(Home)
07 Nov
Racing de Veracruz
0 : 1
Irapuato
31 Oct
Zacatepec
1 : 5
Racing de Veracruz
24 Oct
Racing de Veracruz
0 : 0
Los Cabos United
17 Oct
Inter Playa Del Carmen
0 : 1
Racing de Veracruz
10 Oct
Racing de Veracruz
2 : 1
Celaya
Page 1 of 6

Tritones Vallarta

(Away)
07 Nov
Deportiva Venados
1 : 1
Tritones Vallarta
31 Oct
Tritones Vallarta
3 : 2
Pioneros
24 Oct
Chapulineros
2 : 1
Tritones Vallarta
11 Oct
Irapuato
1 : 0
Tritones Vallarta
04 Oct
Lobos ULMX
2 : 1
Tritones Vallarta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Irapuato 10 10 0 0 23:6 31
2 Tigres de Alica 11 5 3 3 19:12 18
3 Lobos ULMX 10 4 2 4 13:13 15
4 Reboceros de La Piedad 10 5 0 5 15:16 15
5 Zacatepec 10 4 2 4 13:16 15
6 Cordobes FC 10 3 2 5 9:14 10
7 Los Cabos United 10 3 1 6 9:15 10
8 Purepechas 9 2 2 5 6:10 8
9 Tritones Vallarta 9 1 3 5 8:12 6
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 10 6 3 1 24:9 23
2 Pioneros 10 6 2 2 21:10 21
3 Celaya 10 6 2 2 18:10 20
4 Jaguares De Chiapas 10 4 3 3 11:10 16
5 Deportiva Venados 10 3 3 4 19:18 13
6 Chapulineros 10 3 4 3 13:17 13
7 Montaneses 11 4 1 6 15:21 12
8 Inter Playa Del Carmen 10 2 1 7 10:20 7
9 Tapachula 10 2 0 8 11:28 6
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)