Sport Picks
Racing Louisville W vs Portland Thorns FC W
USA
NWSL Women Lynn Family Stadium, Louisville, KY 
Match Events
6'
6'
Wilson S.
Assist: Moultrie O.
14'
14'
O'Kane K.
Assist: Milliet L.
41'
41'
Fischer K.
AI Match Summary
The NWSL Women game between Racing Louisville W and Portland Thorns FC W finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Racing Louisville W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
33%
40%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Portland Thorns FC W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Portland Thorns FC W carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Portland Thorns FC W's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Racing Louisville W Clean Sheet 13%
Portland Thorns FC W Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Racing Louisville W | Portland Thorns FC W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 5, 2026 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Racing Louisville W
4:0
May 8, 2026 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Portland Thorns FC W
3:1
Sep 6, 2025 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Portland Thorns FC W
1:2
Apr 27, 2025 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Racing Louisville W
3:3
Oct 19, 2024 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Portland Thorns FC W
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Racing Louisville W Compare
Top Goalscorer O'Kane K.
2 Goals Assists Leader Sears E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Portland Thorns FC W Compare
Top Goalscorer Wilson S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Racing Louisville W 27 / 100
Portland Thorns FC W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Racing Louisville W Portland Thorns FC W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick POR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Racing Louisville W's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 26 recent games.
Defensive concern: Portland Thorns FC W conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.
Portland Thorns FC W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Racing Louisville W VS Portland Thorns FC W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Racing Louisville W
(Home) 27 Jul
Angel City W
1 : 2 Racing Louisville W
19 Jul
Racing Louisville W
1 : 1 Houston Dash W
11 Jul
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2 Bay FC W
05 Jul
Portland Thorns FC W
4 : 0 Racing Louisville W
30 May
Racing Louisville W
0 : 1 Denver Summit W
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19 Jul
Racing Louisville W
1 : 1 Houston Dash W
11 Jul
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2 Bay FC W
30 May
Racing Louisville W
0 : 1 Denver Summit W
23 May
Racing Louisville W
1 : 2 North Carolina Courage W
08 May
Racing Louisville W
3 : 1 Portland Thorns FC W
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Portland Thorns FC W
(Away) 25 Jul
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 2 Gotham FC W
18 Jul
Denver Summit W
2 : 1 Portland Thorns FC W
12 Jul
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Portland Thorns FC W
05 Jul
Portland Thorns FC W
4 : 0 Racing Louisville W
28 Jun
Portland Thorns FC W
3 : 4 San Diego Wave W
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Denver Summit W
2 : 1 Portland Thorns FC W
12 Jul
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Portland Thorns FC W
24 May
Kansas City Current W
3 : 1 Portland Thorns FC W
08 May
Racing Louisville W
3 : 1 Portland Thorns FC W
03 May
Chicago Stars W
0 : 2 Portland Thorns FC W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington Spirit W | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 25:12 | 33 |
| 2 | Gotham FC W | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 21:12 | 31 |
| 3 | Utah Royals W | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26:17 | 30 |
| 4 | San Diego Wave W | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 23:19 | 29 |
| 5 | Portland Thorns FC W | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Kansas City Current W | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 23:23 | 25 |
| 7 | Orlando Pride W | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 22:21 | 23 |
| 8 | Angel City W | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 23:16 | 22 |
| 9 | North Carolina Courage W | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21:23 | 21 |
| 10 | Seattle Reign W | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:19 | 20 |
| 11 | Denver Summit W | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 21:20 | 19 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:24 | 19 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18:23 | 19 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16:20 | 18 |
| 15 | Chicago Stars W | 16 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 8:31 | 12 |
| 16 | Racing Louisville W | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 18:28 | 11 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)
